FairValue

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Anouar Ait El

Hadj

AMBelgium · Union Saint-Gilloise

№ 486039Established €10.9M −0.78

Player dossierPro League

Anouar Ait ElHadj

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Union Saint-Gilloise
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
24
Height
167 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hadj at €5M. Model A, which never saw Hadj during training, estimates €10.9M: the market value is 54% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €15.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.78A €10.9M▼ −1.15B €15.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
74
Minutes
4,714
Goals
6
Assists
8
Started
57/74
Min / app
64
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hadj…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €10.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Anouar Ait El Hadj's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 65th, Minutes, last 365 days 95th, European club minutes 83rd61stGoals72ndAssists84thMinutes65thStarts95thRecent83rdEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,246 this player1,541 midfielder median95th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jul 2019
Peak
€6M
Jun 2021
Model target
€5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
2 club changes
Jun 2026€5MUnion Saint-GilloiseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €5M, Union Saint-Gilloise. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-07-24€300kRSC Anderlecht
2019-12-13€300kRSC Anderlecht
2020-08-06€300kRSC Anderlecht
2020-10-16€500kRSC Anderlecht
2021-03-17€2.8MRSC Anderlecht
2021-06-07€6MRSC Anderlecht
2022-01-06€4.5MRSC Anderlecht
2022-04-12€4MRSC Anderlecht
2022-09-07€2.5MRSC Anderlecht
2022-11-04€2MRSC Anderlecht
2023-06-09€1.7MKRC Genk
2023-12-19€1.5MKRC Genk
2024-03-22€1.2MKRC Genk
2024-06-04€2.5MKRC Genk
2024-12-11€1.8MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2025-06-12€3MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2025-10-01€4MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2025-12-10€5MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2026-06-04€5MUnion Saint-Gilloise

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.775

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 85% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hadj appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).