FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Mady

Camara

CMGuinea · PAOK Thessaloniki

№ 481173Established €4.9M +0.03

Player dossierSuper League

MadyCamara

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
PAOK Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
Guinea
Age
29
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Camara at €5M. Model A, which never saw Camara during training, estimates €4.9M: the market value is 3% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €11M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.03A €4.9M▼ −0.79B €11M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
83
Minutes
3,900
Goals
10
Assists
3
Started
37/83
Min / app
47
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Camara…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €4.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mady Camara's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 87th, Assists per 90 38th, Minutes, two years 72nd, Starts 15th, Minutes, last 365 days 39th, European club minutes 97th87thGoals38thAssists72ndMinutes15thStarts39thRecent97thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

33% this player0% midfielder median97th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Mar 2017
Peak
€15M
Feb 2021
Model target
€5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
4 club changes
Jun 2026€5MPAOK ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €5M, PAOK Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-03-20€150kAC Ajaccio
2017-06-15€300kAC Ajaccio
2018-05-16€300kAC Ajaccio
2018-12-07€4MOlympiacos Piraeus
2019-05-21€8MOlympiacos Piraeus
2019-12-18€8MOlympiacos Piraeus
2020-04-08€6.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2020-08-04€12MOlympiacos Piraeus
2021-02-12€15MOlympiacos Piraeus
2021-11-01€15MOlympiacos Piraeus
2022-02-22€13MOlympiacos Piraeus
2022-06-09€11MOlympiacos Piraeus
2022-11-11€11MAS Roma
2023-06-15€10MAS Roma
2023-09-21€8MOlympiacos Piraeus
2023-12-20€8MOlympiacos Piraeus
2024-03-06€7MOlympiacos Piraeus
2024-05-30€6MOlympiacos Piraeus
2024-12-18€6MPAOK Thessaloniki
2025-05-23€7.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2025-12-12€7MPAOK Thessaloniki
2026-03-06€6MPAOK Thessaloniki
2026-06-04€5MPAOK Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.030

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 93% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Camara appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).