FairValue

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Rick van

Drongelen

CBNetherlands · Samsunspor

№ 354340Established €3.8M +0.45

Player dossierSüper Lig

Rick vanDrongelen

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Samsunspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
27
Height
188 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Drongelen at €6M. Model A, which never saw Drongelen during training, estimates €3.8M: the market value is 56% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.45A €3.8M▲ +0.19B €5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
67
Minutes
5,947
Goals
5
Assists
2
Started
66/67
Min / app
89
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Drongelen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €3.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Rick van Drongelen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 78th, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 92nd, Starts 93rd, Minutes, last 365 days 92nd, European club minutes 64th78thGoals44thAssists92ndMinutes93rdStarts92ndRecent64thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

99% this player83% defender median93rd percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2015
Peak
€8M
Dec 2019
Model target
€6M
May 2026
Valuations
33
6 club changes
May 2026€6MSamsunsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6M, Samsunspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-11-01€50kSparta Rotterdam U21
2016-02-05€50kSparta Rotterdam
2016-07-15€250kSparta Rotterdam
2017-01-18€750kSparta Rotterdam
2017-06-07€900kSparta Rotterdam
2017-10-18€2.5MHamburger SV
2017-12-28€3MHamburger SV
2018-06-05€3MHamburger SV
2019-01-08€4.5MHamburger SV
2019-06-12€4.5MHamburger SV
2019-12-13€8MHamburger SV
2020-04-08€7.2MHamburger SV
2020-07-15€5MHamburger SV
2021-02-08€4MHamburger SV
2021-06-16€2.5MHamburger SV
2021-10-07€1.5M1.FC Union Berlin
2021-12-22€1.5M1.FC Union Berlin
2022-04-12€1.5MKV Mechelen
2022-09-28€1MFC Hansa Rostock
2022-11-30€1MFC Hansa Rostock
2023-03-31€800kFC Hansa Rostock
2023-06-28€1MFC Hansa Rostock
2023-09-27€800kSamsunspor
2023-12-21€750kSamsunspor
2024-03-15€1MSamsunspor
2024-05-31€1.4MSamsunspor
2024-10-04€1.7MSamsunspor
2024-12-23€2MSamsunspor
2025-03-20€2.3MSamsunspor
2025-06-18€2.7MSamsunspor
2025-10-01€2.8MSamsunspor
2025-12-17€4MSamsunspor
2026-05-21€6MSamsunspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.445

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 84% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 73% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Drongelen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).