FairValue

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Portrait of Paul Onuachu

Paul

Onuachu

CFNigeria · Trabzonspor

№ 272855Established €4.1M +0.37

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSüper Lig

PaulOnuachu

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Trabzonspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Nigeria
Age
31
Height
201 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Onuachu at €6M. Model A, which never saw Onuachu during training, estimates €4.1M: the market value is 45% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.37A €4.1M▲ +0.98B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
56
Minutes
3,593
Goals
26
Assists
3
Started
39/56
Min / app
64
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Onuachu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €4.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Paul Onuachu's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 97th, Assists per 90 22nd, Minutes, two years 75th, Starts 68th, Minutes, last 365 days 88th, European club minutes 28th97thGoals22ndAssists75thMinutes68thStarts88thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.65 this player0.26 attacker median97th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2013
Peak
€22M
Oct 2021
Model target
€6M
May 2026
Valuations
35
7 club changes
May 2026€6MTrabzonsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6M, Trabzonspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-02€50kFC Midtjylland
2014-08-31€100kFC Midtjylland
2015-02-06€200kVejle Boldklub
2015-09-02€200kFC Midtjylland
2016-01-21€400kFC Midtjylland
2016-08-12€500kFC Midtjylland
2016-12-12€600kFC Midtjylland
2017-03-27€600kFC Midtjylland
2017-06-21€1MFC Midtjylland
2017-12-18€1.5MFC Midtjylland
2018-06-02€1.5MFC Midtjylland
2018-12-21€2.5MFC Midtjylland
2019-06-08€6MFC Midtjylland
2019-12-13€6.5MKRC Genk
2020-04-08€5.2MKRC Genk
2020-10-16€7MKRC Genk
2021-01-04€12MKRC Genk
2021-03-17€17MKRC Genk
2021-06-07€20MKRC Genk
2021-10-06€22MKRC Genk
2022-01-06€20MKRC Genk
2022-04-12€17MKRC Genk
2022-09-07€14MKRC Genk
2022-11-04€15MKRC Genk
2023-03-16€17MSouthampton FC
2023-06-20€13MSouthampton FC
2023-09-27€13MTrabzonspor
2023-12-21€13MTrabzonspor
2024-03-15€12MTrabzonspor
2024-05-31€13MTrabzonspor
2024-12-16€11MSouthampton FC
2025-03-18€8MSouthampton FC
2025-05-30€6MSouthampton FC
2025-12-17€6MTrabzonspor
2026-05-21€6MTrabzonspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.369

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 84% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 68% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Onuachu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).