FairValue

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Igor

Zubeldia

CBSpain · Real Sociedad

№ 355628Established €4.2M +0.35

Player dossierLaLiga

IgorZubeldia

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Real Sociedad
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
29
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zubeldia at €6M. Model A, which never saw Zubeldia during training, estimates €4.2M: the market value is 42% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.35A €4.2M▲ +0.09B €5.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
5,783
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
66/70
Min / app
83
Cards
18Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zubeldia…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €4.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Igor Zubeldia's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 37th, Assists per 90 35th, Minutes, two years 91st, Starts 82nd, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 74th37thGoals35thAssists91stMinutes82ndStarts73rdRecent74thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,783 this player2,860 defender median91st percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€350k
Aug 2016
Peak
€30M
Jun 2019
Model target
€6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
1 club change
Jun 2026€6MReal SociedadValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €6M, Real Sociedad. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-08-01€350kReal Sociedad B
2017-02-02€350kReal Sociedad B
2017-06-30€350kReal Sociedad B
2017-08-17€600kReal Sociedad
2018-01-01€2MReal Sociedad
2018-03-22€3MReal Sociedad
2018-05-30€5MReal Sociedad
2018-10-31€10MReal Sociedad
2018-12-21€20MReal Sociedad
2019-06-11€30MReal Sociedad
2019-12-20€30MReal Sociedad
2020-04-08€24MReal Sociedad
2020-10-08€24MReal Sociedad
2021-01-05€20MReal Sociedad
2021-06-10€20MReal Sociedad
2021-12-30€15MReal Sociedad
2022-06-03€15MReal Sociedad
2022-11-07€15MReal Sociedad
2023-06-13€15MReal Sociedad
2023-10-13€18MReal Sociedad
2023-12-22€22MReal Sociedad
2024-06-07€22MReal Sociedad
2024-12-27€22MReal Sociedad
2025-03-21€18MReal Sociedad
2025-06-09€12MReal Sociedad
2025-10-02€9MReal Sociedad
2025-12-12€9MReal Sociedad
2026-06-05€6MReal Sociedad

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.349

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 61% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 73% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zubeldia appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).