Rúben
Semedo
CBPortugal · Avs Futebol
Player dossierLiga Portugal
RúbenSemedo
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Avs Futebol
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Semedo at €300k. Model A, which never saw Semedo during training, estimates €263k: the market value is 14% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €479k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 9
- Minutes
- 782
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 9/9
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Semedo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- Feb 2014
- Peak
- €14M
- Aug 2017
- Model target
- €300k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 31
- 12 club changes
May 2026: €300k, Avs Futebol. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-02-20 | €1M | Sporting CP B |
| 2015-10-07 | €400k | Vitória Setúbal FC |
| 2016-02-24 | €1.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2016-07-29 | €3.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2016-10-31 | €7M | Sporting CP |
| 2017-02-22 | €7M | Sporting CP |
| 2017-06-26 | €9M | Sporting CP |
| 2017-08-17 | €14M | Villarreal CF |
| 2018-01-01 | €8M | Villarreal CF |
| 2018-03-22 | €1M | Villarreal CF |
| 2018-07-20 | €1M | SD Huesca |
| 2018-12-21 | €1M | SD Huesca |
| 2019-06-07 | €2M | Rio Ave FC |
| 2019-09-23 | €5M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2019-12-18 | €6M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2020-04-08 | €4.8M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2020-08-04 | €7M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2021-02-12 | €8M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2021-11-01 | €5M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2022-03-10 | €5M | FC Porto |
| 2022-05-31 | €5M | FC Porto |
| 2022-11-10 | €3.5M | Al-Duhail SC |
| 2023-05-30 | €3.2M | Al-Duhail SC |
| 2023-11-27 | €3M | Al-Duhail SC |
| 2024-05-02 | €2.5M | Al-Markhiya SC |
| 2024-12-10 | €2M | Al-Khor SC |
| 2025-05-28 | €1.5M | Al-Markhiya SC |
| 2025-10-21 | €1M | Avs Futebol |
| 2025-12-18 | €700k | Avs Futebol |
| 2026-03-19 | €500k | Avs Futebol |
| 2026-05-28 | €300k | Avs Futebol |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.130
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 8% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 9% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Semedo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PizziAMGD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal€300k
- GómezCBFC Alverca · Liga Portugal€300k
- VenâncioCBCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€300k
- CharlesGKVitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal€300k
- SmithRBAFC Bournemouth · defenders€300k
- ClyneRBCrystal Palace · defenders€300k
- NauberCBGo Ahead Eagles · defenders€300k
- ViergeverCBFC Utrecht · defenders€300k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).