Charles
GKBrazil · Vitória Guimarães SC
Player dossierLiga Portugal
Charles
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Vitória Guimarães SC
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Charles at €300k. Model A, which never saw Charles during training, estimates €485k: the market value is 38% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.62. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €462k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 22
- Minutes
- 1,980
- Started
- 22/22
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Charles…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- May 2015
- Peak
- €2M
- Feb 2018
- Model target
- €300k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 27
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €300k, Vitória Guimarães SC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-05-31 | €100k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2015-12-15 | €100k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2016-07-29 | €100k | CS Marítimo |
| 2017-02-22 | €400k | CS Marítimo |
| 2017-06-26 | €600k | CS Marítimo |
| 2017-11-06 | €1.3M | CS Marítimo |
| 2018-02-07 | €2M | CS Marítimo |
| 2018-04-16 | €1.5M | CS Marítimo |
| 2018-06-13 | €1.5M | CS Marítimo |
| 2018-11-01 | €1M | CS Marítimo |
| 2019-01-11 | €1M | CS Marítimo |
| 2019-06-07 | €1.5M | CS Marítimo |
| 2019-12-30 | €800k | CS Marítimo |
| 2020-04-08 | €650k | CS Marítimo |
| 2020-08-17 | €600k | CS Marítimo |
| 2021-01-28 | €600k | CS Marítimo |
| 2021-05-21 | €400k | CS Marítimo |
| 2021-12-27 | €500k | FC Vizela |
| 2022-05-31 | €400k | FC Vizela |
| 2023-01-10 | €250k | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 2023-05-31 | €200k | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 2023-12-27 | €300k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
| 2024-06-06 | €300k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
| 2024-12-19 | €300k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
| 2025-05-30 | €300k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
| 2025-12-18 | €300k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
| 2026-05-28 | €300k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.480
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 8% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 15% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Charles appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PizziAMGD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal€300k
- GómezCBFC Alverca · Liga Portugal€300k
- VenâncioCBCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€300k
- SemedoCBAvs Futebol · Liga Portugal€300k
- MüllerGK1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · goalkeepers€300k
- NigmatullinGKRubin Kazan · goalkeepers€300k
- MiguelGKReal Betis Balompié · goalkeepers€300k
- PaschalakisGKOlympiacos Piraeus · goalkeepers€300k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).