Pizzi
AMPortugal · GD Estoril Praia
Player dossierLiga Portugal
Pizzi
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- GD Estoril Praia
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 177 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Pizzi at €300k. Model A, which never saw Pizzi during training, estimates €105k: the market value is 187% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.87. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €115k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 23
- Minutes
- 647
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 5/23
- Min / app
- 28
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pizzi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Assists per 90
Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.
0.70 this player0.09 midfielder median100th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- Jan 2010
- Peak
- €27M
- Dec 2019
- Model target
- €300k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 43
- 10 club changes
May 2026: €300k, GD Estoril Praia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01-15 | €400k | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2010-07-14 | €1.3M | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2011-06-28 | €4.6M | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2011-09-01 | €7.5M | Atlético de Madrid |
| 2012-02-03 | €4.5M | Atlético de Madrid |
| 2012-08-08 | €3.5M | Deportivo de La Coruña |
| 2013-01-11 | €6M | Deportivo de La Coruña |
| 2013-06-14 | €6M | Deportivo de La Coruña |
| 2013-07-25 | €6M | Atlético de Madrid |
| 2014-01-23 | €3M | RCD Espanyol Barcelona |
| 2015-02-17 | €3.2M | SL Benfica |
| 2015-07-01 | €7M | SL Benfica |
| 2016-02-24 | €11M | SL Benfica |
| 2016-07-29 | €13M | SL Benfica |
| 2017-02-22 | €17M | SL Benfica |
| 2017-06-26 | €20M | SL Benfica |
| 2018-02-07 | €20M | SL Benfica |
| 2018-06-13 | €20M | SL Benfica |
| 2018-11-01 | €22M | SL Benfica |
| 2019-01-11 | €20M | SL Benfica |
| 2019-03-18 | €22M | SL Benfica |
| 2019-06-07 | €25M | SL Benfica |
| 2019-12-30 | €27M | SL Benfica |
| 2020-04-08 | €21.5M | SL Benfica |
| 2020-08-17 | €22M | SL Benfica |
| 2020-10-22 | €20M | SL Benfica |
| 2021-01-28 | €18M | SL Benfica |
| 2021-03-25 | €12M | SL Benfica |
| 2021-05-21 | €12M | SL Benfica |
| 2021-09-21 | €10M | SL Benfica |
| 2021-12-27 | €8M | SL Benfica |
| 2022-03-31 | €6M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2022-06-01 | €4M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2022-12-15 | €3M | Al-Wahda FC |
| 2023-06-16 | €2M | SC Braga |
| 2023-12-27 | €1.2M | SC Braga |
| 2024-03-08 | €1M | SC Braga |
| 2024-06-06 | €800k | SC Braga |
| 2024-09-24 | €700k | APOEL Nicosia |
| 2024-12-09 | €600k | APOEL Nicosia |
| 2025-05-29 | €400k | APOEL Nicosia |
| 2025-12-18 | €300k | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2026-05-28 | €300k | GD Estoril Praia |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.053
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 8% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 7% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pizzi appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GómezCBFC Alverca · Liga Portugal€300k
- VenâncioCBCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€300k
- CharlesGKVitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal€300k
- SemedoCBAvs Futebol · Liga Portugal€300k
- TrejoAMRayo Vallecano · midfielders€300k
- HoltbyCMNAC Breda · midfielders€300k
- SchwabCMHolstein Kiel · midfielders€300k
- KalitvintsevAMMetalist 1925 Kharkiv · midfielders€300k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).