FairValue

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Portrait of Nathaniel Clyne

Nathaniel

Clyne

RBEngland · Crystal Palace

№ 85177Emerging €443k −0.39

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

NathanielClyne

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Crystal Palace
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
35
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Clyne at €300k. Model A, which never saw Clyne during training, estimates €443k: the market value is 32% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €173k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.39A €443k▲ +0.55B €173k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
1,294
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
14/28
Min / app
46
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Clyne…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €443k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Nathaniel Clyne's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 67th, Minutes, two years 18th, Starts 8th, Minutes, last 365 days 16th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals67thAssists18thMinutes8thStarts16thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.07 this player0.04 defender median67th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jan 2009
Peak
€21M
Jun 2016
Model target
€300k
Jun 2026
Valuations
37
3 club changes
Jun 2026€300kCrystal PalaceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €300k, Crystal Palace. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-01-08€300kCrystal Palace
2010-10-24€500kCrystal Palace
2012-02-07€1.5MCrystal Palace
2012-06-22€2MCrystal Palace
2012-09-09€3MSouthampton FC
2013-01-28€5MSouthampton FC
2013-07-02€5.5MSouthampton FC
2014-01-15€7MSouthampton FC
2014-08-12€7MSouthampton FC
2015-02-12€12MSouthampton FC
2015-07-01€17MLiverpool FC
2016-02-09€20MLiverpool FC
2016-06-01€21MLiverpool FC
2016-08-01€21MLiverpool FC
2017-02-20€21MLiverpool FC
2017-06-28€21MLiverpool FC
2018-01-02€20MLiverpool FC
2018-05-28€20MLiverpool FC
2018-12-19€15MLiverpool FC
2019-06-13€12MLiverpool FC
2019-12-10€10MLiverpool FC
2020-04-08€8MLiverpool FC
2020-12-17€4MCrystal Palace
2021-03-18€4MCrystal Palace
2021-06-08€3MCrystal Palace
2021-12-23€2MCrystal Palace
2022-06-15€2MCrystal Palace
2022-09-15€3.5MCrystal Palace
2022-11-03€3MCrystal Palace
2023-06-20€2MCrystal Palace
2023-12-19€1.5MCrystal Palace
2024-05-27€1.5MCrystal Palace
2024-12-16€1.5MCrystal Palace
2025-05-30€1MCrystal Palace
2025-10-17€750kCrystal Palace
2025-12-09€500kCrystal Palace
2026-06-03€300kCrystal Palace

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.390

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 1% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 9% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Clyne appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).