Grant
Hanley
CBScotland · Hibernian FC
Player dossierPremiership
GrantHanley
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Hibernian FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Scotland
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Hanley at €200k. Model A, which never saw Hanley during training, estimates €128k: the market value is 56% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €207k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 21
- Minutes
- 1,709
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 21/21
- Min / app
- 81
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hanley…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2010
- Peak
- €4.5M
- Sept 2016
- Model target
- €200k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 34
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €200k, Hibernian FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-08-15 | €50k | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2011-03-07 | €500k | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2011-08-08 | €1M | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2012-06-24 | €2M | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2013-03-02 | €2M | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2013-07-11 | €2.5M | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2014-01-08 | €2.5M | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2015-02-24 | €2.5M | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2015-09-24 | €2.5M | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2016-04-20 | €2.5M | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2016-09-01 | €4.5M | Newcastle United |
| 2017-02-27 | €4.5M | Newcastle United |
| 2017-06-28 | €4.5M | Newcastle United |
| 2017-09-18 | €4M | Norwich City |
| 2018-02-27 | €4M | Norwich City |
| 2018-09-24 | €3.5M | Norwich City |
| 2019-06-28 | €3M | Norwich City |
| 2019-12-10 | €2.5M | Norwich City |
| 2020-04-08 | €2M | Norwich City |
| 2020-10-15 | €1.7M | Norwich City |
| 2021-03-10 | €2.8M | Norwich City |
| 2021-05-28 | €4M | Norwich City |
| 2021-12-23 | €4M | Norwich City |
| 2022-06-15 | €3.5M | Norwich City |
| 2022-10-27 | €2.8M | Norwich City |
| 2023-06-01 | €2M | Norwich City |
| 2023-10-27 | €1.5M | Norwich City |
| 2023-12-21 | €900k | Norwich City |
| 2024-05-24 | €900k | Norwich City |
| 2024-12-30 | €700k | Norwich City |
| 2025-06-18 | €600k | Birmingham City |
| 2025-12-10 | €500k | Hibernian FC |
| 2026-03-05 | €350k | Hibernian FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €200k | Hibernian FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.444
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 26% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Hanley appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ArmstrongCMAberdeen FC · Premiership€200k
- DevlinRBAberdeen FC · Premiership€200k
- NewellCMHibernian FC · Premiership€200k
- DonnellyDMSt. Mirren FC · Premiership€200k
- CaroleLBKayserispor · defenders€200k
- ZankaCBFC Copenhagen · defenders€200k
- BambaCBAngers SCO · defenders€200k
- ColemanRBEverton FC · defenders€200k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).