Lionel
Carole
LBFrance · Kayserispor
Player dossierSüper Lig
LionelCarole
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- Kayserispor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 35
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Carole at €200k. Model A, which never saw Carole during training, estimates €180k: the market value is 11% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €222k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 56
- Minutes
- 4,471
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 52/56
- Min / app
- 80
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Carole…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
93% this player83% defender median78th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €600k
- Oct 2010
- Peak
- €3.5M
- Jan 2017
- Model target
- €200k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 38
- 8 club changes
May 2026: €200k, Kayserispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-10-24 | €600k | FC Nantes |
| 2011-06-15 | €600k | SL Benfica |
| 2011-12-25 | €600k | CS Sedan-Ardennes |
| 2012-06-01 | €600k | CS Sedan-Ardennes |
| 2012-11-10 | €900k | SL Benfica B |
| 2014-01-13 | €1M | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2014-11-20 | €1M | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2015-06-06 | €1.5M | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2016-01-18 | €1.5M | Galatasaray |
| 2016-07-15 | €2M | Galatasaray |
| 2017-01-10 | €3.5M | Galatasaray |
| 2017-06-09 | €3.3M | Galatasaray |
| 2018-01-01 | €3M | Sevilla FC |
| 2018-05-30 | €3M | Sevilla FC |
| 2018-12-17 | €3M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2019-06-03 | €3M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2019-12-19 | €2.5M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2020-04-08 | €2M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2020-10-15 | €2M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2021-06-04 | €2M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2021-10-12 | €2M | Kayserispor |
| 2022-01-04 | €1.8M | Kayserispor |
| 2022-03-30 | €2M | Kayserispor |
| 2022-06-01 | €2M | Kayserispor |
| 2022-10-27 | €1.7M | Kayserispor |
| 2023-03-14 | €1.5M | Kayserispor |
| 2023-06-08 | €1.1M | Kayserispor |
| 2023-09-27 | €1M | Kayserispor |
| 2023-12-21 | €850k | Kayserispor |
| 2024-03-15 | €650k | Kayserispor |
| 2024-05-31 | €550k | Kayserispor |
| 2024-10-04 | €550k | Kayserispor |
| 2024-12-23 | €500k | Kayserispor |
| 2025-03-20 | €400k | Kayserispor |
| 2025-06-18 | €325k | Kayserispor |
| 2025-10-01 | €300k | Kayserispor |
| 2025-12-17 | €300k | Kayserispor |
| 2026-05-21 | €200k | Kayserispor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.105
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 6% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Carole appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- YavruRBSamsunspor · Süper Lig€200k
- ŞahinerRBBasaksehir FK · Süper Lig€200k
- GüvençGKGalatasaray · Süper Lig€200k
- SangaréRBGaziantep FK · Süper Lig€200k
- ZankaCBFC Copenhagen · defenders€200k
- BambaCBAngers SCO · defenders€200k
- ColemanRBEverton FC · defenders€200k
- NuytinckCBNEC Nijmegen · defenders€200k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).