FairValue

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Martin

Frydek

LBCzech Republic · Aris Thessaloniki

№ 146710Emerging €369k −0.61

Player dossierSuper League

MartinFrydek

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Aris Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
Czech Republic
Age
34
Height
179 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Frydek at €200k. Model A, which never saw Frydek during training, estimates €369k: the market value is 46% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.85. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €349k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.61A €369k▼ −0.56B €349k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
35
Minutes
2,041
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
24/35
Min / app
58
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Frydek…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €369k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Martin Frydek's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 53rd, Minutes, two years 35th, Starts 25th, Minutes, last 365 days 25th, European club minutes 63rd18thGoals53rdAssists35thMinutes25thStarts25thRecent63rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

3% this player0% defender median63rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jan 2012
Peak
€2.3M
Oct 2016
Model target
€200k
Jun 2026
Valuations
38
5 club changes
Jun 2026€200kAris ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €200k, Aris Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-01-06€100kAC Sparta Prague
2012-03-25€300kAC Sparta Prague
2012-12-10€300kFK Senica (- 2022)
2013-08-07€400kFC Slovan Liberec
2014-04-17€500kFC Slovan Liberec
2014-09-01€500kFC Slovan Liberec
2015-01-17€500kFC Slovan Liberec
2015-10-14€1MAC Sparta Prague
2016-03-18€1.5MAC Sparta Prague
2016-08-03€2MAC Sparta Prague
2016-10-16€2.3MAC Sparta Prague
2016-12-19€2.3MAC Sparta Prague
2017-06-10€2MAC Sparta Prague
2017-10-07€1.8MAC Sparta Prague
2017-12-21€1.8MAC Sparta Prague
2018-07-14€1.8MAC Sparta Prague
2018-10-29€2MAC Sparta Prague
2018-12-30€2MAC Sparta Prague
2019-06-25€1.8MAC Sparta Prague
2019-09-25€1.5MAC Sparta Prague
2019-12-07€1.8MAC Sparta Prague
2020-04-08€1.4MAC Sparta Prague
2020-07-10€1.4MAC Sparta Prague
2020-12-28€1.4MFC Luzern
2021-04-15€1MFC Luzern
2021-06-23€700kFC Luzern
2022-01-03€600kFC Luzern
2022-06-08€400kFC Luzern
2022-11-10€400kFC Luzern
2023-06-07€500kFC Luzern
2023-10-19€500kFC Luzern
2023-12-21€500kFC Luzern
2024-03-28€400kFC Luzern
2024-05-31€400kFC Luzern
2024-12-18€350kAris Thessaloniki
2025-05-23€300kAris Thessaloniki
2025-12-12€250kAris Thessaloniki
2026-06-04€200kAris Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.613

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 10% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Frydek appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).