FairValue

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Janis

Blaswich

GKGermany · Bayer 04 Leverkusen

№ 81173Emerging €637k +0.09

Player dossierBundesliga

JanisBlaswich

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
35
Height
193 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Blaswich at €700k. Model A, which never saw Blaswich during training, estimates €637k: the market value is 10% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €405k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.09A €637k▲ +0.55B €405k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
2,301
Started
25/27
Min / app
85
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Blaswich…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €637k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Janis Blaswich's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 42nd, Starts 10th, Minutes, last 365 days 50th, European club minutes 99th42ndMinutes10thStarts50thRecent99thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

56% this player0% goalkeeper median99th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Aug 2009
Peak
€4M
Oct 2023
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
39
8 club changes
May 2026€700kBayer 04 LeverkusenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-08-19€25kBorussia Mönchengladbach II
2011-04-07€50kBorussia Mönchengladbach II
2011-06-28€100kBorussia Mönchengladbach II
2012-01-23€100kBorussia Mönchengladbach
2012-06-29€200kBorussia Mönchengladbach
2013-01-13€200kBorussia Mönchengladbach
2013-06-30€200kBorussia Mönchengladbach
2014-04-01€200kBorussia Mönchengladbach
2014-07-10€200kBorussia Mönchengladbach
2015-02-04€200kBorussia Mönchengladbach
2015-07-01€225kSG Dynamo Dresden
2015-10-29€300kSG Dynamo Dresden
2016-02-08€300kSG Dynamo Dresden
2016-07-22€400kBorussia Mönchengladbach
2016-11-20€300kBorussia Mönchengladbach
2017-08-18€300kFC Hansa Rostock
2018-01-19€300kFC Hansa Rostock
2018-06-08€500kFC Hansa Rostock
2018-10-04€800kHeracles Almelo
2018-12-28€1MHeracles Almelo
2019-06-12€1MHeracles Almelo
2019-12-18€1MHeracles Almelo
2020-04-08€800kHeracles Almelo
2020-10-14€800kHeracles Almelo
2021-05-19€800kHeracles Almelo
2022-01-05€800kHeracles Almelo
2022-06-08€800kHeracles Almelo
2022-11-09€1MRB Leipzig
2023-03-29€2MRB Leipzig
2023-06-22€2.5MRB Leipzig
2023-10-18€4MRB Leipzig
2023-12-14€4MRB Leipzig
2024-03-27€3MRB Leipzig
2024-05-29€2MRB Leipzig
2024-10-10€1.5MRed Bull Salzburg
2024-12-17€1MRed Bull Salzburg
2025-06-06€700kRed Bull Salzburg
2025-12-19€700kBayer 04 Leverkusen
2026-05-27€700kBayer 04 Leverkusen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.094

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 3% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 35% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Blaswich appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).