Milos

Kerkez

LBHungary · Liverpool FC

№ 730861World Class €52.5M −0.41

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

MilosKerkez

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club: Liverpool FC
League: Premier League
Nationality: Hungary
Age: 22
Height: 180 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kerkez at €35M. Model A, which never saw Kerkez during training, estimates €52.5M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €46.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 89
Minutes: 6,783
Goals: 4
Assists: 8
Started: 78/89
Min / app: 76
Cards: 12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kerkez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €35M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,783 this player2,860 defender median97th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €50k; Oct 2020
Peak: €45M; May 2025
Model target: €35M; Jun 2026
Valuations: 16; 4 club changes

Jun 2026€35MLiverpool FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €35M, Liverpool FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2020-10-23	€50k	ETO FC
2021-01-24	€200k	ETO FC
2021-06-30	€300k	Milan Primavera
2022-06-08	€700k	AZ Alkmaar
2022-09-14	€3M	AZ Alkmaar
2022-11-11	€7M	AZ Alkmaar
2023-03-17	€10M	AZ Alkmaar
2023-06-23	€15M	AZ Alkmaar
2023-10-09	€18M	AFC Bournemouth
2023-12-19	€20M	AFC Bournemouth
2024-05-27	€20M	AFC Bournemouth
2024-12-16	€28M	AFC Bournemouth
2025-03-18	€35M	AFC Bournemouth
2025-05-30	€45M	AFC Bournemouth
2025-12-09	€40M	Liverpool FC
2026-06-03	€35M	Liverpool FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.406

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 79% of the 555 Premier League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 96% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Kerkez appears

TerminalPremier League in the Player Explorer
TerminalPremier League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).