Savinho
LWBrazil · Manchester City
Player dossierPremier League
Savinho
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Manchester City
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Savinho at €35M. Model A, which never saw Savinho during training, estimates €42.3M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €42.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 82
- Minutes
- 4,481
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 15
- Started
- 49/82
- Min / app
- 55
- Cards
- 8Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Savinho…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €35M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
28% this player0% attacker median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €3M
- Feb 2021
- Peak
- €55M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €35M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €35M, Manchester City. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-09 | €3M | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2021-05-28 | €5M | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2021-12-17 | €5M | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2022-04-06 | €6M | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2022-11-11 | €6M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2023-06-23 | €5M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2023-10-13 | €20M | Girona FC |
| 2023-12-22 | €30M | Girona FC |
| 2024-03-21 | €40M | Girona FC |
| 2024-06-07 | €50M | Girona FC |
| 2024-12-16 | €55M | Manchester City |
| 2025-05-30 | €50M | Manchester City |
| 2025-12-09 | €45M | Manchester City |
| 2026-03-09 | €40M | Manchester City |
| 2026-06-03 | €35M | Manchester City |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.190
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 79% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 94% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Savinho appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FernandesAMManchester United · Premier League€35M
- BotmanCBNewcastle United · Premier League€35M
- KadıoğluLBBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League€35M
- JonesCMLiverpool FC · Premier League€35M
- DíazRWReal Madrid · attackers€35M
- VlahovićCFJuventus FC · attackers€35M
- LepaulCFStade Rennais FC · attackers€35M
- SchadeLWBrentford FC · attackers€35M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).