FairValue

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Portrait of Dávid Hancko

Dávid

Hancko

CBSlovakia · Atlético de Madrid

№ 404418World Class €24.2M +0.37

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

DávidHancko

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Atlético de Madrid
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Slovakia
Age
28
Height
188 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hancko at €35M. Model A, which never saw Hancko during training, estimates €24.2M: the market value is 45% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €33.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.37A €24.2M▲ +0.03B €33.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
96
Minutes
8,304
Goals
7
Assists
7
Started
92/96
Min / app
87
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hancko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €35M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €35MModel A €24.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dávid Hancko's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 78th, Assists per 90 69th, Minutes, two years 100th, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 99th, European club minutes 92nd78thGoals69thAssists100thMinutes86thStarts99thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

8,304 this player2,860 defender median100th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2016
Peak
€35M
Dec 2023
Model target
€35M
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
4 club changes
Jun 2026€35MAtlético de MadridValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €35M, Atlético de Madrid. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-12-31€50kMSK Zilina
2017-06-28€75kMSK Zilina
2017-12-28€300kMSK Zilina
2018-06-28€600kMSK Zilina
2018-10-12€2MACF Fiorentina
2018-12-20€2.5MACF Fiorentina
2019-06-06€2.5MACF Fiorentina
2019-12-07€2MAC Sparta Prague
2020-04-08€1.6MAC Sparta Prague
2020-07-10€2.5MAC Sparta Prague
2020-12-27€2.5MAC Sparta Prague
2021-05-31€2.7MAC Sparta Prague
2021-10-12€3MAC Sparta Prague
2021-12-26€4MAC Sparta Prague
2022-06-22€4.5MAC Sparta Prague
2022-09-14€7MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2022-11-11€12.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2023-03-17€20MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2023-06-23€25MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2023-10-17€30MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2023-12-15€35MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-05-31€35MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-12-17€35MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2025-03-28€32MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2025-05-28€30MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2025-12-12€30MAtlético de Madrid
2026-03-16€35MAtlético de Madrid
2026-06-05€35MAtlético de Madrid

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.369

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 92% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€35MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 96% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€35MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hancko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).