FairValue

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Milan

Djuric

CFBosnia-Herzegovina · US Cremonese

№ 67556Emerging €381k +0.96

Player dossierSerie A

MilanDjuric

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
US Cremonese
League
Serie A
Nationality
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Age
36
Height
199 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Djuric at €1M. Model A, which never saw Djuric during training, estimates €381k: the market value is 162% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.62. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €169k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.96A €381k▲ +1.78B €169k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
1,985
Goals
5
Assists
2
Started
19/51
Min / app
39
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Djuric…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €381k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Milan Djuric's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 43rd, Assists per 90 28th, Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 17th, Minutes, last 365 days 11th, European club minutes 28th43rdGoals28thAssists44thMinutes17thStarts11thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

1,985 this player2,242 attacker median44th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Jun 2008
Peak
€1.5M
Jan 2010
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
41
11 club changes
May 2026€1MUS CremoneseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-06-19€250kAC Cesena
2009-09-25€1MAC Cesena
2010-01-12€1.5MAC Cesena
2010-06-28€1.5MAC Cesena
2010-10-08€1MAscoli Calcio 1898
2011-02-13€900kFC Crotone
2011-06-17€900kFC Crotone
2012-01-01€850kFC Crotone
2012-06-08€750kFC Crotone
2013-02-05€450kUS Cremonese
2013-06-10€300kUS Cremonese
2014-01-29€300kTrapani Calcio
2014-07-15€450kAC Cesena
2015-01-07€500kAC Cesena
2015-06-30€500kAC Cesena
2015-12-28€500kAC Cesena
2016-06-13€1MAC Cesena
2016-12-19€1MAC Cesena
2017-02-27€1.3MBristol City
2017-09-18€1.3MBristol City
2018-02-27€1MBristol City
2018-07-01€900kBristol City
2019-01-17€700kUS Salernitana 1919
2019-06-05€850kUS Salernitana 1919
2019-12-30€650kUS Salernitana 1919
2020-04-08€525kUS Salernitana 1919
2020-08-21€600kUS Salernitana 1919
2021-02-22€600kUS Salernitana 1919
2021-06-24€600kUS Salernitana 1919
2021-12-28€600kUS Salernitana 1919
2022-03-15€800kUS Salernitana 1919
2022-06-07€1.5MUS Salernitana 1919
2022-11-11€1MHellas Verona
2023-06-15€1MHellas Verona
2023-12-20€1MHellas Verona
2024-03-12€1.5MAC Monza
2024-06-05€1.5MAC Monza
2024-12-18€1.5MAC Monza
2025-06-17€1.5MParma Calcio 1913
2025-12-23€1MParma Calcio 1913
2026-05-29€1MUS Cremonese

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.965

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 8% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Djuric appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).