
Edin
Dzeko
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
EdinDzeko
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- FC Schalke 04
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Bosnia-Herzegovina
- Age
- 40
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Dzeko at €1M. Model A, which never saw Dzeko during training, estimates €906k: the market value is 10% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 64
- Minutes
- 3,584
- Goals
- 22
- Assists
- 8
- Started
- 37/64
- Min / app
- 56
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dzeko…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
31% this player0% attacker median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Jan 2006
- Peak
- €32M
- Feb 2012
- Model target
- €1M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 51
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €1M, FC Schalke 04. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2006-01-31 | €200k | FK Teplice |
| 2007-06-26 | €4M | FK Teplice |
| 2008-01-01 | €4.5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2008-06-04 | €5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2009-01-21 | €7.5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2009-03-21 | €10M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2009-04-21 | €12.5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2009-06-10 | €18M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2009-11-18 | €25M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2010-06-15 | €30M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2011-01-12 | €30M | Manchester City |
| 2011-08-08 | €28M | Manchester City |
| 2012-02-06 | €32M | Manchester City |
| 2012-06-24 | €29M | Manchester City |
| 2013-01-28 | €27M | Manchester City |
| 2013-07-02 | €27M | Manchester City |
| 2014-01-15 | €24M | Manchester City |
| 2014-08-12 | €27M | Manchester City |
| 2015-02-12 | €24M | Manchester City |
| 2015-07-01 | €20M | Manchester City |
| 2015-11-05 | €18M | AS Roma |
| 2016-01-04 | €15M | AS Roma |
| 2016-07-15 | €12M | AS Roma |
| 2016-10-14 | €13M | AS Roma |
| 2017-01-02 | €15M | AS Roma |
| 2017-03-28 | €18M | AS Roma |
| 2017-06-08 | €22M | AS Roma |
| 2017-12-29 | €22M | AS Roma |
| 2018-06-07 | €25M | AS Roma |
| 2018-12-20 | €23M | AS Roma |
| 2019-06-06 | €14M | AS Roma |
| 2019-12-12 | €14M | AS Roma |
| 2020-04-08 | €11M | AS Roma |
| 2020-08-25 | €10M | AS Roma |
| 2020-12-29 | €8M | AS Roma |
| 2021-03-23 | €5M | AS Roma |
| 2021-06-03 | €4M | AS Roma |
| 2021-12-28 | €4M | Inter Milan |
| 2022-06-07 | €4M | Inter Milan |
| 2022-11-11 | €4M | Inter Milan |
| 2023-06-15 | €4M | Inter Milan |
| 2023-09-27 | €4M | Fenerbahce |
| 2023-12-21 | €3.6M | Fenerbahce |
| 2024-03-15 | €3.3M | Fenerbahce |
| 2024-05-31 | €2.7M | Fenerbahce |
| 2024-10-04 | €2.5M | Fenerbahce |
| 2024-12-23 | €2.2M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-03-20 | €2M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-06-18 | €1.6M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-12-23 | €1.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2026-06-01 | €1M | FC Schalke 04 |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.099
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 7% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Dzeko appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GulácsiGKRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€1M
- GouweleeuwCBFC Augsburg · Bundesliga€1M
- BuschRB1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga€1M
- PoulsenCFHamburger SV · Bundesliga€1M
- DzyubaCFAkron Tolyatti · attackers€1M
- PedroRWSS Lazio · attackers€1M
- DjuricCFUS Cremonese · attackers€1M
- YarmolenkoRWDynamo Kyiv · attackers€1M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).
