Pedro
RWSpain · SS Lazio
Player dossierSerie A
Pedro
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- SS Lazio
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 38
- Height
- 167 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Pedro at €1M. Model A, which never saw Pedro during training, estimates €2.6M: the market value is 62% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.64. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 76
- Minutes
- 3,130
- Goals
- 19
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 28/76
- Min / app
- 41
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pedro…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
29% this player0% attacker median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jan 2008
- Peak
- €30M
- Jan 2013
- Model target
- €1M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 47
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €1M, SS Lazio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2008-01-15 | €100k | FC Barcelona |
| 2008-02-04 | €300k | FC Barcelona |
| 2008-08-20 | €500k | FC Barcelona |
| 2008-10-15 | €1M | FC Barcelona |
| 2009-01-26 | €1M | FC Barcelona |
| 2009-07-22 | €2M | FC Barcelona |
| 2009-12-03 | €6M | FC Barcelona |
| 2010-01-07 | €10M | FC Barcelona |
| 2010-04-12 | €14M | FC Barcelona |
| 2010-08-27 | €20M | FC Barcelona |
| 2010-12-10 | €25M | FC Barcelona |
| 2011-07-29 | €28M | FC Barcelona |
| 2012-02-03 | €28M | FC Barcelona |
| 2012-08-07 | €28M | FC Barcelona |
| 2013-01-10 | €30M | FC Barcelona |
| 2013-06-12 | €22M | FC Barcelona |
| 2014-01-23 | €25M | FC Barcelona |
| 2014-07-20 | €25M | FC Barcelona |
| 2015-01-23 | €25M | FC Barcelona |
| 2015-04-09 | €20M | FC Barcelona |
| 2015-07-01 | €20M | FC Barcelona |
| 2015-10-14 | €25M | Chelsea FC |
| 2016-02-09 | €23M | Chelsea FC |
| 2016-06-01 | €23M | Chelsea FC |
| 2016-08-01 | €23M | Chelsea FC |
| 2017-02-20 | €25M | Chelsea FC |
| 2017-06-28 | €28M | Chelsea FC |
| 2018-01-02 | €25M | Chelsea FC |
| 2018-05-28 | €25M | Chelsea FC |
| 2018-12-19 | €25M | Chelsea FC |
| 2019-06-13 | €20M | Chelsea FC |
| 2019-12-10 | €17M | Chelsea FC |
| 2020-03-09 | €12M | Chelsea FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €9.5M | Chelsea FC |
| 2020-10-13 | €7.5M | AS Roma |
| 2020-12-29 | €7.5M | AS Roma |
| 2021-06-03 | €5M | AS Roma |
| 2021-12-28 | €4M | SS Lazio |
| 2022-06-07 | €3M | SS Lazio |
| 2022-11-11 | €2.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-06-15 | €1.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-12-20 | €1.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-06-05 | €1M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-12-18 | €1M | SS Lazio |
| 2025-06-17 | €1M | SS Lazio |
| 2025-12-23 | €1M | SS Lazio |
| 2026-05-29 | €1M | SS Lazio |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.969
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 8% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pedro appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- DjuricCFUS Cremonese · Serie A€1M
- LealiGKGenoa CFC · Serie A€1M
- VardyCFUS Cremonese · Serie A€1M
- MorenoLBComo 1907 · Serie A€1M
- DzekoCFFC Schalke 04 · attackers€1M
- DzyubaCFAkron Tolyatti · attackers€1M
- YarmolenkoRWDynamo Kyiv · attackers€1M
- ClaessonCFFC Copenhagen · attackers€1M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).