FairValue

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Gonzalo

Crettaz

GKSpain · NEC Nijmegen

№ 631049Established €5.1M −0.24

Player dossierEredivisie

GonzaloCrettaz

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
NEC Nijmegen
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Spain
Age
26
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Crettaz at €4M. Model A, which never saw Crettaz during training, estimates €5.1M: the market value is 21% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.24A €5.1M▲ +0.73B €1.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
2,880
Started
32/32
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Crettaz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €5.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Gonzalo Crettaz's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 51st, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 75th, European club minutes 32nd51stMinutes62ndStarts75thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,880 this player1,560 goalkeeper median75th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Nov 2019
Peak
€4M
May 2026
Model target
€4M
May 2026
Valuations
22
4 club changes
May 2026€4MNEC NijmegenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4M, NEC Nijmegen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-11-20€100kAtlético Malagueño
2019-12-20€200kAtlético Malagueño
2020-07-23€200kAtlético Malagueño
2020-10-08€200kAtlético Malagueño
2020-12-30€200kAtlético Malagueño
2021-06-24€200kAtlético Malagueño
2021-12-30€200kCD Badajoz
2022-03-21€300kCD Badajoz
2022-06-29€300kCD Badajoz
2022-12-29€300kUD Logroñés
2023-06-30€250kUD Logroñés
2023-12-20€300kCD Castellón
2024-03-26€500kCD Castellón
2024-06-24€500kCD Castellón
2024-10-14€700kCD Castellón
2024-12-13€700kCD Castellón
2025-03-27€800kCD Castellón
2025-06-24€800kCD Castellón
2025-10-02€1.5MNEC Nijmegen
2025-12-02€2MNEC Nijmegen
2026-03-11€3MNEC Nijmegen
2026-05-28€4MNEC Nijmegen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.240

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 76% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 75% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Crettaz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).