Tomas
Cvancara
CFCzech Republic · Celtic FC
Player dossierPremiership
TomasCvancara
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Celtic FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Czech Republic
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Cvancara at €2M. Model A, which never saw Cvancara during training, estimates €3M: the market value is 34% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.52. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 54
- Minutes
- 2,138
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 22/54
- Min / app
- 40
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cvancara…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
5% this player0% attacker median64th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2017
- Peak
- €12M
- Oct 2023
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 23
- 10 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Celtic FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-12-19 | €50k | SK Slavia Prague U19 |
| 2018-12-30 | €50k | FK Jablonec |
| 2019-06-17 | €25k | Empoli Primavera |
| 2019-12-07 | €200k | FC Slavoj Vysehrad |
| 2020-07-10 | €300k | FC Slavoj Vysehrad |
| 2020-12-27 | €300k | FK Jablonec |
| 2021-06-25 | €250k | Slezsky FC Opava |
| 2021-10-12 | €400k | FK Jablonec |
| 2021-12-26 | €800k | FK Jablonec |
| 2022-06-22 | €1.3M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2022-12-14 | €2M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2023-06-20 | €4M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2023-10-18 | €12M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2023-12-14 | €12M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-03-27 | €10M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-05-29 | €8M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-10-09 | €6.5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-12-20 | €5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-03-27 | €4M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-06-05 | €3M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-10-01 | €2.8M | Antalyaspor |
| 2025-12-17 | €2.5M | Antalyaspor |
| 2026-05-20 | €2M | Celtic FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.422
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 82% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cvancara appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · Premiership€2M
- SouttarCBRangers FC · Premiership€2M
- SaracchiLBCeltic FC · Premiership€2M
- DevlinCMHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€2M
- BerghuisRWAjax Amsterdam · attackers€2M
- BatshuayiCFEintracht Frankfurt · attackers€2M
- WaldschmidtCF1.FC Köln · attackers€2M
- WeghorstCFAjax Amsterdam · attackers€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).