Wout
Weghorst
CFNetherlands · Ajax Amsterdam
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierEredivisie
WoutWeghorst
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Ajax Amsterdam
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 197 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Weghorst at €2M. Model A, which never saw Weghorst during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 79% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 63
- Minutes
- 3,399
- Goals
- 20
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 34/63
- Min / app
- 54
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Weghorst…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Goals per 90
Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.
0.53 this player0.26 attacker median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2012
- Peak
- €30M
- Jul 2020
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 40
- 8 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Ajax Amsterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-08-02 | €50k | FC Emmen |
| 2013-06-04 | €100k | FC Emmen |
| 2014-05-08 | €175k | FC Emmen |
| 2014-08-11 | €300k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2014-11-02 | €500k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2015-02-11 | €750k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2015-07-01 | €900k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2015-11-11 | €1M | Heracles Almelo |
| 2016-02-05 | €1.3M | Heracles Almelo |
| 2016-07-15 | €1.8M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2017-01-18 | €2.5M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2017-06-07 | €2.8M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2017-10-26 | €3.5M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2018-01-17 | €4.5M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2018-03-27 | €5.5M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2018-06-12 | €7M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2018-08-22 | €10M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2018-12-18 | €13M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2019-03-06 | €17M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2019-06-05 | €20M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2019-10-02 | €25M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2019-12-17 | €27M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2020-04-08 | €21.5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2020-07-08 | €30M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-02-10 | €30M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-05-27 | €30M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2021-12-22 | €20M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2022-03-29 | €17M | Burnley FC |
| 2022-06-15 | €14M | Burnley FC |
| 2022-10-27 | €14M | Besiktas JK |
| 2023-06-20 | €12M | Manchester United |
| 2023-10-18 | €9M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2023-12-14 | €9M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2024-03-27 | €7M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2024-05-29 | €6M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2024-12-17 | €5M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2025-05-28 | €4M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2025-12-02 | €3.5M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2026-03-11 | €2.5M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2026-05-28 | €2M | Ajax Amsterdam |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.584
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 62% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Weghorst appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BerghuisRWAjax Amsterdam · Eredivisie€2M
- KlaassenCMAjax Amsterdam · Eredivisie€2M
- OlijGKPSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie€2M
- SandlerCBNEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie€2M
- BatshuayiCFEintracht Frankfurt · attackers€2M
- WaldschmidtCF1.FC Köln · attackers€2M
- AyensaCFStandard Liège · attackers€2M
- ZinkovskiyLWFC Sochi · attackers€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).