John
Souttar
CBScotland · Rangers FC
Player dossierPremiership
JohnSouttar
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Rangers FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Scotland
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Souttar at €2M. Model A, which never saw Souttar during training, estimates €4M: the market value is 50% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.99. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 67
- Minutes
- 5,575
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 62/67
- Min / app
- 83
- Cards
- 14Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Souttar…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
35% this player0% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Oct 2013
- Peak
- €4.5M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 27
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Rangers FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-10-08 | €200k | Dundee United FC |
| 2014-02-13 | €500k | Dundee United FC |
| 2014-10-09 | €500k | Dundee United FC |
| 2015-12-07 | €500k | Dundee United FC |
| 2017-02-14 | €600k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2018-03-04 | €750k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2018-08-08 | €850k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2019-01-03 | €1.3M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2019-08-20 | €1.5M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2020-02-05 | €1.5M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.2M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2020-07-21 | €1M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2021-01-18 | €1M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2021-06-03 | €800k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2021-12-31 | €1M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2022-06-27 | €1.5M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2022-12-13 | €1.5M | Rangers FC |
| 2023-06-26 | €1.2M | Rangers FC |
| 2023-12-05 | €1.5M | Rangers FC |
| 2024-03-20 | €2.5M | Rangers FC |
| 2024-05-30 | €3M | Rangers FC |
| 2024-10-02 | €3.5M | Rangers FC |
| 2024-12-03 | €4.5M | Rangers FC |
| 2025-06-17 | €4M | Rangers FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €3.5M | Rangers FC |
| 2026-03-05 | €3M | Rangers FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €2M | Rangers FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.690
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 82% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Souttar appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · Premiership€2M
- SaracchiLBCeltic FC · Premiership€2M
- DevlinCMHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€2M
- WelshCBMotherwell FC · Premiership€2M
- HummelsCBAS Roma · defenders€2M
- GünterLBSC Freiburg · defenders€2M
- KohrCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€2M
- KayembeLBKRC Genk · defenders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).