FairValue

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Wendel

CMBrazil · Zenit St. Petersburg

№ 499721Elite €6.7M +0.80

Player dossierPremier Liga

Wendel

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Zenit St. Petersburg
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Brazil
Age
28
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Wendel at €15M. Model A, which never saw Wendel during training, estimates €6.7M: the market value is 123% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.80A €6.7M▲ +1.79B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
58
Minutes
4,652
Goals
4
Assists
16
Started
55/58
Min / app
80
Cards
7Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Wendel…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €15MModel A €6.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Wendel's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 48th, Assists per 90 96th, Minutes, two years 83rd, Starts 93rd, Minutes, last 365 days 80th, European club minutes 30th48thGoals96thAssists83rdMinutes93rdStarts80thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.31 this player0.09 midfielder median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€5M
Oct 2017
Peak
€24M
Jun 2023
Model target
€15M
May 2026
Valuations
23
2 club changes
May 2026€15MZenit St. PetersburgValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €15M, Zenit St. Petersburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-10-30€5MFluminense Football Club
2017-12-07€7.5MFluminense Football Club
2018-06-13€6.5MSporting CP
2019-01-11€7.5MSporting CP
2019-06-07€10MSporting CP
2019-12-30€10MSporting CP
2020-04-08€8MSporting CP
2020-08-17€12MSporting CP
2020-10-19€15MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-12-29€14MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-04-13€15MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-06-02€17MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-09-15€18MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-12-29€19MZenit St. Petersburg
2022-06-02€19MZenit St. Petersburg
2022-11-21€22MZenit St. Petersburg
2023-06-14€24MZenit St. Petersburg
2023-12-13€22MZenit St. Petersburg
2024-06-04€20MZenit St. Petersburg
2024-12-12€20MZenit St. Petersburg
2025-06-04€18MZenit St. Petersburg
2025-12-16€15MZenit St. Petersburg
2026-05-26€15MZenit St. Petersburg

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.800

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Joint 9th highest observed value among 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 83% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Wendel appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).