FairValue

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Dylan

Levitt

CMWales · Hibernian FC

№ 496652Emerging €2.8M −1.47

Player dossierPremiership

DylanLevitt

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Hibernian FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
Wales
Age
25
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
10 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Levitt at €650k. Model A, which never saw Levitt during training, estimates €2.8M: the market value is 77% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×4.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.47A €2.8M▼ −1.87B €4.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
48
Minutes
2,482
Goals
4
Assists
2
Started
29/48
Min / app
52
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Levitt…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €650k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €650kModel A €2.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dylan Levitt's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 71st, Assists per 90 40th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 35th, Minutes, last 365 days 50th, European club minutes 82nd71stGoals40thAssists48thMinutes35thStarts50thRecent82ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

18% this player0% midfielder median82nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€750k
Dec 2019
Peak
€850k
Nov 2022
Model target
€650k
Dec 2025
Valuations
14
3 club changes
Dec 2025€650kHibernian FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €650k, Hibernian FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-12-10€750kManchester United U23
2020-04-08€675kManchester United U23
2021-05-25€650kNK Istra 1961
2021-12-31€650kDundee United FC
2022-09-06€700kDundee United FC
2022-11-14€850kDundee United FC
2023-03-22€800kDundee United FC
2023-06-26€800kDundee United FC
2023-09-22€750kHibernian FC
2023-12-05€800kHibernian FC
2024-05-30€800kHibernian FC
2024-12-03€700kHibernian FC
2025-06-17€650kHibernian FC
2025-12-10€650kHibernian FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.471

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 68% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€650kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€650kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Levitt appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).