FairValue

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Jamiro

Monteiro

CMCape Verde · PEC Zwolle

№ 272930Emerging €280k +0.84

Player dossierEredivisie

JamiroMonteiro

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
PEC Zwolle
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Cape Verde
Age
32
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Monteiro at €650k. Model A, which never saw Monteiro during training, estimates €280k: the market value is 132% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €701k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.84A €280k▼ −0.08B €701k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
3,522
Goals
5
Assists
5
Started
43/52
Min / app
68
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Monteiro…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €650k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €650kModel A €280k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Jamiro Monteiro's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 65th, Assists per 90 63rd, Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 47th, European club minutes 30th65thGoals63rdAssists66thMinutes75thStarts47thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

83% this player69% midfielder median75th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Nov 2015
Peak
€4M
Nov 2022
Model target
€650k
May 2026
Valuations
26
6 club changes
May 2026€650kPEC ZwolleValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €650k, PEC Zwolle. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-11-11€150kSC Cambuur Leeuwarden
2016-02-05€250kSC Cambuur Leeuwarden
2016-07-01€300kSC Cambuur Leeuwarden
2017-02-02€350kSC Cambuur Leeuwarden
2017-06-21€500kSC Cambuur Leeuwarden
2018-01-17€850kHeracles Almelo
2018-03-27€1.3MHeracles Almelo
2018-06-12€1.8MHeracles Almelo
2019-01-08€1.8MFC Metz
2019-05-27€1.8MPhiladelphia Union
2019-11-30€1.9MPhiladelphia Union
2020-04-08€1.5MPhiladelphia Union
2020-08-26€2MPhiladelphia Union
2020-12-18€3MPhiladelphia Union
2021-07-09€3MPhiladelphia Union
2021-11-09€3MPhiladelphia Union
2022-08-18€3.5MSan Jose Earthquakes
2022-11-08€4MSan Jose Earthquakes
2023-08-22€3MSan Jose Earthquakes
2023-12-18€3MSan Jose Earthquakes
2024-03-15€2.7MGaziantep FK
2024-05-31€2MGaziantep FK
2024-12-17€1.5MPEC Zwolle
2025-05-28€1MPEC Zwolle
2025-12-02€750kPEC Zwolle
2026-05-28€650kPEC Zwolle

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.842

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 32% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€650kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€650kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Monteiro appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).