Claudio
Falcão
DMBrazil · SC Farense
Player dossierLiga Portugal
ClaudioFalcão
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- SC Farense
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 22 Dec 2025
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Falcão at €650k. Model A, which never saw Falcão during training, estimates €636k: the market value is 2% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €824k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 49
- Minutes
- 4,237
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 48/49
- Min / app
- 86
- Cards
- 19Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Falcão…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €650k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
98% this player69% midfielder median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Sept 2016
- Peak
- €1M
- Jun 2024
- Model target
- €650k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 21
- 2 club changes
Dec 2025: €650k, SC Farense. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-09-30 | €25k | CD Aves B |
| 2017-11-06 | €300k | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2018-02-07 | €600k | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2018-06-13 | €500k | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2019-01-11 | €500k | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2019-06-07 | €500k | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2019-12-30 | €600k | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2020-04-08 | €475k | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2020-08-17 | €600k | SC Farense |
| 2021-01-28 | €700k | SC Farense |
| 2021-05-21 | €500k | SC Farense |
| 2022-04-01 | €300k | SC Farense |
| 2022-06-27 | €275k | SC Farense |
| 2022-12-28 | €350k | SC Farense |
| 2023-06-28 | €450k | SC Farense |
| 2023-12-27 | €600k | SC Farense |
| 2024-03-08 | €800k | SC Farense |
| 2024-06-06 | €1M | SC Farense |
| 2024-12-19 | €1M | SC Farense |
| 2025-05-30 | €800k | SC Farense |
| 2025-12-22 | €650k | SC Farense |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.022
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 32% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Falcão appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PaciênciaCFCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€700k
- ContéLBCasa Pia AC · Liga Portugal€700k
- GrauCMAvs Futebol · Liga Portugal€700k
- SoaresAMCD Nacional · Liga Portugal€700k
- ThomasDMPEC Zwolle · midfielders€650k
- MonteiroCMPEC Zwolle · midfielders€650k
- LevittCMHibernian FC · midfielders€650k
- SeveljDMDundee United FC · midfielders€650k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).