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Daniel

Peretz

GKIsrael · Southampton FC

№ 468539Established €3.5M +0.14

Player dossierPremier League

DanielPeretz

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Southampton FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Israel
Age
25
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Peretz at €4M. Model A, which never saw Peretz during training, estimates €3.5M: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.14A €3.5M▲ +1.38B €1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
11
Minutes
1,001
Started
10/11
Min / app
91
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Peretz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €3.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Daniel Peretz's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 18th, Starts 8th, Minutes, last 365 days 23rd, European club minutes 72nd18thMinutes8thStarts23rdRecent72ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

9% this player0% goalkeeper median72nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Dec 2019
Peak
€5M
Oct 2023
Model target
€4M
May 2026
Valuations
19
4 club changes
May 2026€4MSouthampton FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4M, Southampton FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-12-28€150kBeitar Tel Aviv Bat Yam
2020-07-07€150kBeitar Tel Aviv Bat Yam
2020-12-26€150kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2021-05-29€150kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2021-10-09€450kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2021-12-31€500kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2022-06-04€800kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2022-09-24€1.3MMaccabi Tel Aviv
2022-12-20€2.5MMaccabi Tel Aviv
2023-05-29€2.5MMaccabi Tel Aviv
2023-07-12€4MMaccabi Tel Aviv
2023-10-18€5MBayern Munich
2023-12-14€4MBayern Munich
2024-05-29€3MBayern Munich
2024-12-20€3MBayern Munich
2025-06-05€3MBayern Munich
2025-10-14€2MHamburger SV
2025-12-19€2MHamburger SV
2026-05-28€4MSouthampton FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.138

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 16% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 75% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Peretz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).