Ivan
Brnic
LWCroatia · Basaksehir FK
Player dossierSüper Lig
IvanBrnic
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Basaksehir FK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Croatia
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 173 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Brnic at €2M. Model A, which never saw Brnic during training, estimates €3.5M: the market value is 43% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.76. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 49
- Minutes
- 2,039
- Goals
- 8
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 21/49
- Min / app
- 42
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Brnic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
28% this player0% attacker median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jul 2020
- Peak
- €2M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Basaksehir FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-27 | €100k | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2020-12-28 | €250k | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2021-06-10 | €300k | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2021-12-30 | €350k | NK Dugopolje |
| 2022-06-14 | €850k | NK Dugopolje |
| 2022-12-15 | €600k | NK Maribor |
| 2023-05-25 | €800k | NK Maribor |
| 2023-09-21 | €1.3M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2023-12-20 | €1.3M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2024-05-30 | €1.2M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2024-12-11 | €1M | NK Celje |
| 2025-03-20 | €1.5M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-06-18 | €1.6M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-10-01 | €2M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-12-17 | €2M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2026-05-21 | €2M | Basaksehir FK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.568
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 61% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Brnic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · Süper Lig€2M
- KocukGKSamsunspor · Süper Lig€2M
- NtchamCMSamsunspor · Süper Lig€2M
- PaalLBAntalyaspor · Süper Lig€2M
- BerghuisRWAjax Amsterdam · attackers€2M
- BatshuayiCFEintracht Frankfurt · attackers€2M
- WaldschmidtCF1.FC Köln · attackers€2M
- WeghorstCFAjax Amsterdam · attackers€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).