Rodrigo
Becão
Player dossierSüper Lig
RodrigoBecão
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Kasimpasa
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Becão at €2M. Model A, which never saw Becão during training, estimates €844k: the market value is 137% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.37. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 30
- Minutes
- 2,071
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 23/30
- Min / app
- 69
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Becão…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
14% this player0% defender median76th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2015
- Peak
- €11M
- Sept 2023
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 30
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Kasimpasa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-12-15 | €50k | Unknown |
| 2016-07-23 | €50k | Unknown |
| 2017-12-07 | €200k | Esporte Clube Bahia |
| 2018-05-23 | €400k | Esporte Clube Bahia |
| 2018-08-31 | €1M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2018-10-15 | €2.5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2018-12-20 | €6.5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2019-06-14 | €7M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2019-12-12 | €7M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2020-03-03 | €6M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2020-04-08 | €4.8M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2020-08-25 | €4.5M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2020-12-29 | €5M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2021-06-03 | €5M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2021-12-28 | €5M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2022-06-07 | €6M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2022-11-11 | €10M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2023-06-15 | €10M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2023-09-27 | €11M | Fenerbahce |
| 2023-12-21 | €10M | Fenerbahce |
| 2024-03-15 | €9M | Fenerbahce |
| 2024-05-31 | €8M | Fenerbahce |
| 2024-10-04 | €8M | Fenerbahce |
| 2024-12-23 | €8M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-03-20 | €6.5M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-06-18 | €5.5M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-10-01 | €4.5M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-12-17 | €3M | Fenerbahce |
| 2026-03-05 | €2.5M | Kasimpasa |
| 2026-05-21 | €2M | Kasimpasa |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.863
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 61% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Becão appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · Süper Lig€2M
- KocukGKSamsunspor · Süper Lig€2M
- NtchamCMSamsunspor · Süper Lig€2M
- PaalLBAntalyaspor · Süper Lig€2M
- HummelsCBAS Roma · defenders€2M
- GünterLBSC Freiburg · defenders€2M
- KohrCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€2M
- KayembeLBKRC Genk · defenders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).
