FairValue

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Denis

Drăguș

CFRomania · Gaziantep FK

№ 405399Established €1.5M +0.29

Player dossierSüper Lig

DenisDrăguș

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Gaziantep FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Romania
Age
26
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Drăguș at €2M. Model A, which never saw Drăguș during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 34% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.29A €1.5M▼ −0.23B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
48
Minutes
2,534
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
29/48
Min / app
53
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Drăguș…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Denis Drăguș's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 15th, Assists per 90 21st, Minutes, two years 57th, Starts 52nd, Minutes, last 365 days 46th, European club minutes 75th15thGoals21stAssists57thMinutes52ndStarts46thRecent75thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

13% this player0% attacker median75th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2017
Peak
€4M
May 2024
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
28
8 club changes
May 2026€2MGaziantep FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Gaziantep FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-09-29€50kFC Viitorul Constanta
2017-12-27€200kFC Viitorul Constanta
2018-06-14€200kFC Viitorul Constanta
2018-09-24€450kFC Viitorul Constanta
2018-12-23€1MFC Viitorul Constanta
2019-04-04€1.5MFC Viitorul Constanta
2019-06-18€2MFC Viitorul Constanta
2019-12-13€2MStandard Liège
2020-03-30€1.5MStandard Liège
2020-04-08€1.3MStandard Liège
2020-10-29€1.3MFC Crotone
2020-12-29€1.2MFC Crotone
2021-06-03€900kFC Crotone
2022-01-06€900kStandard Liège
2022-04-12€900kStandard Liège
2022-11-04€2MStandard Liège
2023-06-12€1.4MGenoa CFC
2023-09-27€1.5MGaziantep FK
2023-12-21€2MGaziantep FK
2024-03-15€3MGaziantep FK
2024-05-31€4MGaziantep FK
2024-10-04€4MTrabzonspor
2024-12-23€4MTrabzonspor
2025-03-20€3.8MTrabzonspor
2025-06-18€3.5MTrabzonspor
2025-12-17€3MEyüpspor
2026-03-05€2.5MGaziantep FK
2026-05-21€2MGaziantep FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.291

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 61% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Drăguș appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).