FairValue

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Christian

Günter

LBGermany · SC Freiburg

№ 93707Established €1.9M +0.06

Player dossierBundesliga

ChristianGünter

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
SC Freiburg
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
33
Height
184 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Günter at €2M. Model A, which never saw Günter during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 6% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.06A €1.9M▲ +0.03B €1.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
69
Minutes
5,034
Goals
2
Assists
10
Started
58/69
Min / app
73
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Günter…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Christian Günter's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 53rd, Assists per 90 93rd, Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 53rd, Minutes, last 365 days 75th, European club minutes 75th53rdGoals93rdAssists84thMinutes53rdStarts75thRecent75thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.18 this player0.04 defender median93rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2012
Peak
€12M
Dec 2019
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
32
0 club changes
May 2026€2MSC FreiburgValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, SC Freiburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-02€150kSC Freiburg
2013-01-13€200kSC Freiburg
2013-06-30€400kSC Freiburg
2013-11-05€800kSC Freiburg
2014-02-12€1.5MSC Freiburg
2014-07-10€2.3MSC Freiburg
2015-02-04€3MSC Freiburg
2015-07-01€2.5MSC Freiburg
2016-02-11€2MSC Freiburg
2016-07-22€2MSC Freiburg
2017-02-07€2.8MSC Freiburg
2017-06-19€3.5MSC Freiburg
2017-12-28€3.5MSC Freiburg
2018-04-04€4.5MSC Freiburg
2018-06-05€5MSC Freiburg
2018-12-18€9MSC Freiburg
2019-06-05€9MSC Freiburg
2019-12-17€12MSC Freiburg
2020-04-08€9.5MSC Freiburg
2020-09-16€9MSC Freiburg
2021-02-10€9MSC Freiburg
2021-06-01€12MSC Freiburg
2021-12-22€12MSC Freiburg
2022-06-09€12MSC Freiburg
2022-11-09€10MSC Freiburg
2023-06-22€7.5MSC Freiburg
2023-12-14€6MSC Freiburg
2024-05-29€5MSC Freiburg
2024-12-20€4MSC Freiburg
2025-06-05€3.5MSC Freiburg
2025-12-19€2MSC Freiburg
2026-05-27€2MSC Freiburg

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.057

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 19% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Günter appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).