FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Gabriel

Suazo

LBChile · Sevilla FC

№ 385105Established €4.4M +0.31

Player dossierLaLiga

GabrielSuazo

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Sevilla FC
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Chile
Age
28
Height
178 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Suazo at €6M. Model A, which never saw Suazo during training, estimates €4.4M: the market value is 36% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.31A €4.4M▲ +0.19B €5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
4,288
Goals
0
Assists
8
Started
48/60
Min / app
71
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Suazo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €4.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Gabriel Suazo's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 92nd, Minutes, two years 74th, Starts 44th, Minutes, last 365 days 66th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals92ndAssists74thMinutes44thStarts66thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.17 this player0.04 defender median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jan 2016
Peak
€7M
Dec 2025
Model target
€6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
2 club changes
Jun 2026€6MSevilla FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €6M, Sevilla FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-01-11€100kCSD Colo-Colo
2017-10-19€650kCSD Colo-Colo
2018-06-03€650kCSD Colo-Colo
2019-05-22€750kCSD Colo-Colo
2019-12-07€1MCSD Colo-Colo
2020-04-08€800kCSD Colo-Colo
2020-11-10€1.2MCSD Colo-Colo
2021-03-11€800kCSD Colo-Colo
2021-10-22€600kCSD Colo-Colo
2022-03-28€1MCSD Colo-Colo
2022-06-16€1.7MCSD Colo-Colo
2022-11-15€2MCSD Colo-Colo
2023-06-27€2.5MFC Toulouse
2023-12-18€3MFC Toulouse
2024-06-03€3.5MFC Toulouse
2024-12-10€3MFC Toulouse
2025-03-24€4MFC Toulouse
2025-06-03€4MFC Toulouse
2025-12-12€7MSevilla FC
2026-06-05€6MSevilla FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.307

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 61% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 73% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Suazo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).