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Antonio

Rüdiger

CBGermany · Real Madrid

№ 86202Established €6.6M −0.10

Player dossierLaLiga

AntonioRüdiger

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Real Madrid
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Germany
Age
33
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rüdiger at €6M. Model A, which never saw Rüdiger during training, estimates €6.6M: the market value is 9% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.10A €6.6M▲ +0.57B €3.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
80
Minutes
6,638
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
73/80
Min / app
83
Cards
9Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rüdiger…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €6.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Antonio Rüdiger's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 66th, Assists per 90 34th, Minutes, two years 96th, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 97th66thGoals34thAssists96thMinutes73rdStarts77thRecent97thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

34% this player0% defender median97th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2011
Peak
€50M
Jun 2019
Model target
€6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
45
4 club changes
Jun 2026€6MReal MadridValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €6M, Real Madrid. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-07-22€100kVfB Stuttgart II
2011-08-25€150kVfB Stuttgart II
2012-01-11€200kVfB Stuttgart II
2012-03-05€300kVfB Stuttgart II
2012-06-27€500kVfB Stuttgart II
2013-01-13€1MVfB Stuttgart
2013-03-11€1.5MVfB Stuttgart
2013-06-30€2.8MVfB Stuttgart
2013-11-05€4.5MVfB Stuttgart
2014-02-12€6MVfB Stuttgart
2014-07-10€7MVfB Stuttgart
2014-08-21€10MVfB Stuttgart
2015-02-04€10MVfB Stuttgart
2015-07-01€10MVfB Stuttgart
2016-01-04€9MAS Roma
2016-04-01€10MAS Roma
2016-06-01€12MAS Roma
2016-07-15€12MAS Roma
2017-01-02€15MAS Roma
2017-03-28€18MAS Roma
2017-06-08€25MAS Roma
2018-01-02€30MChelsea FC
2018-03-23€40MChelsea FC
2018-05-28€40MChelsea FC
2018-12-19€45MChelsea FC
2019-06-13€50MChelsea FC
2019-12-10€50MChelsea FC
2020-04-08€40MChelsea FC
2020-10-13€30MChelsea FC
2020-12-17€25MChelsea FC
2021-03-18€25MChelsea FC
2021-06-01€28MChelsea FC
2021-10-05€35MChelsea FC
2021-12-23€35MChelsea FC
2022-06-15€40MChelsea FC
2022-11-07€40MReal Madrid
2023-06-13€32MReal Madrid
2023-12-22€25MReal Madrid
2024-06-07€25MReal Madrid
2024-12-27€24MReal Madrid
2025-06-09€20MReal Madrid
2025-10-02€15MReal Madrid
2025-12-12€12MReal Madrid
2026-03-16€9MReal Madrid
2026-06-05€6MReal Madrid

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.099

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 61% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 73% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rüdiger appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).