FairValue

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Ozan

Kökcü

AMAzerbaijan · FC Volendam

№ 380118Emerging €658k −0.56

Player dossierEredivisie

OzanKökcü

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Volendam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Azerbaijan
Age
27
Height
176 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kökcü at €375k. Model A, which never saw Kökcü during training, estimates €658k: the market value is 43% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.75. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.56A €658k▼ −1.40B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
1,810
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
21/31
Min / app
58
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kökcü…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €375k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €375kModel A €658k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ozan Kökcü's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 34th, Assists per 90 52nd, Minutes, two years 32nd, Starts 47th, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 30th34thGoals52ndAssists32ndMinutes47thStarts58thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,810 this player1,541 midfielder median58th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2017
Peak
€550k
Jun 2024
Model target
€375k
May 2026
Valuations
21
8 club changes
May 2026€375kFC VolendamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €375k, FC Volendam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-07-01€50kFeyenoord U19
2018-02-12€50kRKC Waalwijk
2018-06-29€100kRKC Waalwijk
2019-01-07€100kGiresunspor
2019-06-17€50kGiresunspor
2019-12-27€150kSabah FK
2020-06-29€200kSabah FK
2020-12-30€200kSabah FK
2021-10-12€175kSC Telstar
2022-01-12€175kSC Telstar
2022-06-23€225kSC Telstar
2022-10-12€350kFC Eindhoven
2023-07-04€325kFC Eindhoven
2024-01-08€450kFC Eindhoven
2024-06-10€550kFC Eindhoven
2024-09-06€500kHJK Helsinki
2024-11-28€500kHJK Helsinki
2025-05-05€350kWithout Club
2025-12-02€350kFC Volendam
2026-03-11€450kFC Volendam
2026-05-28€375kFC Volendam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.562

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 17% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€375kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€375kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kökcü appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).