FairValue

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Portrait of Tjaronn Chery

Tjaronn

Chery

AMSuriname · NEC Nijmegen

№ 76326Emerging €837k −0.74

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierEredivisie

TjaronnChery

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
NEC Nijmegen
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Suriname
Age
37
Height
171 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Chery at €400k. Model A, which never saw Chery during training, estimates €837k: the market value is 52% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €819k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.74A €837k▼ −0.72B €819k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
66
Minutes
5,362
Goals
21
Assists
13
Started
64/66
Min / app
81
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Chery…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €837k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Tjaronn Chery's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 96th, Assists per 90 87th, Minutes, two years 90th, Starts 96th, Minutes, last 365 days 91st, European club minutes 30th96thGoals87thAssists90thMinutes96thStarts91stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

97% this player69% midfielder median96th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2008
Peak
€4.5M
Sept 2016
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
36
12 club changes
May 2026€400kNEC NijmegenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, NEC Nijmegen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-07-29€50kFC Twente Enschede U21
2009-06-14€200kCambuur-Leeuwarden bvo
2011-01-05€250kFC Emmen
2011-06-15€400kFC Emmen
2011-10-21€600kADO Den Haag
2012-01-20€900kADO Den Haag
2012-07-25€1.2MADO Den Haag
2013-01-14€1.5MADO Den Haag
2013-06-12€1.5MADO Den Haag
2014-02-11€1.5MFC Groningen
2014-08-11€2MFC Groningen
2015-02-16€3MFC Groningen
2015-07-01€4MFC Groningen
2016-04-20€4MQueens Park Rangers
2016-09-01€4.5MQueens Park Rangers
2017-03-05€3.5MGuizhou Hengfeng Zhicheng
2017-06-19€3.5MGuizhou Hengfeng Zhicheng
2017-12-01€3MGuizhou Hengfeng
2018-06-05€1.5MGuizhou Hengfeng
2019-01-04€1.8MKayserispor
2019-06-04€2MKayserispor
2019-12-28€1.8MMaccabi Haifa
2020-04-08€1.4MMaccabi Haifa
2020-07-07€1MMaccabi Haifa
2020-12-26€800kMaccabi Haifa
2021-05-29€800kMaccabi Haifa
2021-12-31€400kMaccabi Haifa
2022-06-04€400kMaccabi Haifa
2022-12-20€400kMaccabi Haifa
2023-05-29€400kMaccabi Haifa
2023-12-22€400kMaccabi Haifa
2024-05-31€350kNEC Nijmegen
2024-12-11€500kRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-06-12€500kRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-12-02€400kNEC Nijmegen
2026-05-28€400kNEC Nijmegen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.738

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 18% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Chery appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).