Chris
Lokesa
LWBelgium · RKC Waalwijk
Player dossierEredivisie
ChrisLokesa
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- RKC Waalwijk
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Belgium
- Age
- 21
- Height
- 179 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 16 Dec 2025
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Lokesa at €375k. Model A, which never saw Lokesa during training, estimates €593k: the market value is 37% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 40
- Minutes
- 2,507
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 28/40
- Min / app
- 63
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lokesa…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €375k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
70% this player59% attacker median68th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Oct 2022
- Peak
- €600k
- May 2024
- Model target
- €375k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 10
- 1 club change
Dec 2025: €375k, RKC Waalwijk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-05 | €100k | RSCA Futures |
| 2022-12-22 | €400k | RSCA Futures |
| 2023-06-23 | €350k | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2023-12-15 | €450k | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2024-03-18 | €550k | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2024-05-31 | €600k | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2024-12-17 | €500k | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2025-03-28 | €400k | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2025-05-28 | €400k | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2025-12-16 | €375k | RKC Waalwijk |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.459
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 17% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Lokesa appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KökcüAMFC Volendam · Eredivisie€375k
- EijmaCBRKC Waalwijk · Eredivisie€375k
- CheryAMNEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie€400k
- MisidjanLMNEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie€400k
- WaterRWPanionios FC · attackers€375k
- SansoneLWUS Lecce · attackers€400k
- LapadulaCFSpezia Calcio · attackers€400k
- RosaLWPanetolikos · attackers€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).