FairValue

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Nikolay

Kalinskiy

DMRussia · FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod

№ 146468Emerging €398k 0.00

Player dossierPremier Liga

NikolayKalinskiy

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
32
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kalinskiy at €400k. Model A, which never saw Kalinskiy during training, estimates €398k: the market value is level with that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €342k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ 0.00A €398k▲ +0.16B €342k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,300
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
25/34
Min / app
68
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kalinskiy…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €398k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Nikolay Kalinskiy's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 28th, Assists per 90 59th, Minutes, two years 43rd, Starts 58th, Minutes, last 365 days 11th, European club minutes 30th28thGoals59thAssists43rdMinutes58thStarts11thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.12 this player0.09 midfielder median59th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Apr 2010
Peak
€1.5M
Jun 2022
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
31
5 club changes
May 2026€400kFC Pari Nizhniy NovgorodValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-04-02€50kLokomotiv Moscow II
2011-01-10€300kLokomotiv Moscow II
2013-03-22€100kLokomotiv Moscow II
2015-06-11€75kSKA-Energia Khabarovsk
2015-09-10€300kSKA-Energia Khabarovsk
2016-01-17€300kSKA-Energia Khabarovsk
2016-07-01€250kSKA Khabarovsk
2016-12-27€250kSKA Khabarovsk
2017-06-01€350kSKA Khabarovsk
2017-12-23€350kSKA Khabarovsk
2018-06-06€350kSKA Khabarovsk
2018-10-15€450kTom Tomsk
2018-12-20€600kTom Tomsk
2019-06-14€675kTom Tomsk
2019-12-23€650kTom Tomsk
2020-04-08€525kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2020-06-29€525kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2020-12-29€550kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2021-05-24€600kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2021-09-15€800kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2021-12-29€1.2MFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2022-06-02€1.5MFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2022-11-21€1.5MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2023-06-14€1.5MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2023-12-13€1.5MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2024-06-04€1.5MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2024-12-12€1.5MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-06-04€1.2MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-09-18€900kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-12-16€500kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2026-05-26€400kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.005

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 10% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kalinskiy appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).