Ponck
Player dossierLiga Portugal
Ponck
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Avs Futebol
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Cape Verde
- Age
- 35
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Ponck at €100k. Model A, which never saw Ponck during training, estimates €113k: the market value is 12% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €191k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 26
- Minutes
- 1,493
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 15/26
- Min / app
- 57
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ponck…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% defender median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jul 2015
- Peak
- €1.7M
- Aug 2020
- Model target
- €100k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 29
- 11 club changes
May 2026: €100k, Avs Futebol. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-07-31 | €100k | SC Farense |
| 2016-02-24 | €250k | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2016-08-22 | €350k | SL Benfica B |
| 2017-02-22 | €700k | GD Chaves |
| 2017-06-26 | €900k | GD Chaves |
| 2018-02-07 | €900k | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2018-06-13 | €1.3M | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2019-01-11 | €1M | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2019-06-07 | €1M | Desportivo Aves (- 2020) |
| 2020-01-03 | €1.5M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.2M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2020-08-04 | €1.7M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2020-12-23 | €1.5M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2021-03-16 | €1M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2021-05-21 | €900k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2021-10-12 | €750k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2022-01-04 | €400k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2022-03-31 | €400k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-06-01 | €400k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-11-01 | €400k | GD Chaves |
| 2023-06-16 | €800k | GD Chaves |
| 2023-12-27 | €700k | Moreirense FC |
| 2024-06-06 | €800k | Moreirense FC |
| 2024-12-19 | €600k | Moreirense FC |
| 2025-03-20 | €700k | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 2025-06-13 | €600k | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 2025-10-21 | €500k | Without Club |
| 2025-12-18 | €200k | Avs Futebol |
| 2026-05-28 | €100k | Avs Futebol |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.124
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 2% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ponck appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FonteCBCasa Pia AC · Liga Portugal€100k
- SimãoCMFC Arouca · Liga Portugal€100k
- RibeiroGKCF Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal€100k
- RochaCBCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€100k
- NeustädterCBKVC Westerlo · defenders€100k
- SarıCBAntalyaspor · defenders€100k
- DalsgaardRBAarhus GF · defenders€100k
- TanchykRBEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi · defenders€100k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).