Henrik
Dalsgaard
RBDenmark · Aarhus GF
Player dossierSuperliga
HenrikDalsgaard
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Aarhus GF
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Denmark
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Dalsgaard at €100k. Model A, which never saw Dalsgaard during training, estimates €141k: the market value is 29% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.41. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €130k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 47
- Minutes
- 3,593
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 42/47
- Min / app
- 76
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dalsgaard…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
89% this player83% defender median67th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jan 2009
- Peak
- €2.5M
- Jul 2018
- Model target
- €100k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 35
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €100k, Aarhus GF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-01-03 | €100k | Aalborg BK |
| 2009-10-22 | €150k | Aalborg BK |
| 2009-12-08 | €200k | Aalborg BK |
| 2010-06-02 | €350k | Aalborg BK |
| 2011-06-30 | €350k | Aalborg BK |
| 2012-07-21 | €450k | Aalborg BK |
| 2013-01-17 | €600k | Aalborg BK |
| 2013-06-17 | €600k | Aalborg BK |
| 2014-08-31 | €600k | Aalborg BK |
| 2015-02-06 | €600k | Aalborg BK |
| 2015-09-02 | €600k | Aalborg BK |
| 2016-02-07 | €700k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2016-04-14 | €1M | Zulte Waregem |
| 2016-07-15 | €1M | Zulte Waregem |
| 2017-01-21 | €1M | Zulte Waregem |
| 2017-06-06 | €1.3M | Zulte Waregem |
| 2018-02-27 | €1.5M | Brentford FC |
| 2018-07-16 | €2.5M | Brentford FC |
| 2019-06-28 | €2.5M | Brentford FC |
| 2020-02-27 | €2.5M | Brentford FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €2M | Brentford FC |
| 2020-10-15 | €2M | Brentford FC |
| 2021-03-10 | €2M | Brentford FC |
| 2021-06-30 | €2M | Brentford FC |
| 2021-10-06 | €1.5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2021-12-28 | €1.5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2022-06-20 | €1M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2022-12-22 | €800k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2023-06-26 | €500k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2023-12-21 | €500k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2024-06-10 | €400k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2024-12-09 | €300k | Aarhus GF |
| 2025-06-16 | €200k | Aarhus GF |
| 2025-12-15 | €100k | Aarhus GF |
| 2026-05-25 | €100k | Aarhus GF |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.346
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 4% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Dalsgaard appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GrønningDMViborg FF · Superliga€100k
- HøeghCBRanders FC · Superliga€100k
- AnkersenRBFC Nordsjaelland · Superliga€100k
- WæverRBSönderjyske Fodbold · Superliga€100k
- FonteCBCasa Pia AC · defenders€100k
- NeustädterCBKVC Westerlo · defenders€100k
- SarıCBAntalyaspor · defenders€100k
- TanchykRBEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi · defenders€100k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).