Renan
Ribeiro
GKBrazil · CF Estrela Amadora
Player dossierLiga Portugal
RenanRibeiro
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- CF Estrela Amadora
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 193 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Ribeiro at €100k. Model A, which never saw Ribeiro during training, estimates €190k: the market value is 47% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.90. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €289k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 33
- Minutes
- 2,970
- Started
- 33/33
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ribeiro…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Minutes, last 365 days
Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.
2,970 this player1,560 goalkeeper median78th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Feb 2009
- Peak
- €3.5M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €100k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 40
- 8 club changes
May 2026: €100k, CF Estrela Amadora. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-02-22 | €200k | Unknown |
| 2009-09-06 | €800k | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2009-10-05 | €600k | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2010-04-15 | €300k | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2010-12-10 | €1M | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2011-08-08 | €800k | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2011-12-08 | €900k | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2012-05-24 | €900k | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2012-08-12 | €750k | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2012-12-05 | €750k | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2013-05-30 | €500k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2013-08-26 | €400k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2014-03-28 | €400k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2015-02-01 | €500k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2015-05-31 | €500k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2015-12-15 | €1M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2016-05-27 | €750k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2016-11-28 | €750k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2017-12-07 | €750k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2018-06-13 | €1M | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2019-01-11 | €2M | Sporting CP |
| 2019-06-07 | €3.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2019-12-30 | €3.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2020-02-11 | €2.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2020-04-08 | €2M | Sporting CP |
| 2020-08-17 | €2M | Sporting CP |
| 2020-10-22 | €1.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2021-01-28 | €1M | Sporting CP |
| 2021-05-21 | €600k | Sporting CP |
| 2021-12-27 | €600k | Sporting CP |
| 2022-05-31 | €500k | Sporting CP |
| 2022-10-07 | €350k | Without Club |
| 2023-03-28 | €250k | Without Club |
| 2024-03-28 | €200k | Hartford Athletic |
| 2024-05-28 | €150k | Hartford Athletic |
| 2024-10-30 | €100k | Hartford Athletic |
| 2025-04-04 | €50k | Without Club |
| 2025-09-30 | €100k | CF Estrela Amadora |
| 2025-12-18 | €100k | CF Estrela Amadora |
| 2026-05-28 | €100k | CF Estrela Amadora |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.644
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 2% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 3% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ribeiro appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FonteCBCasa Pia AC · Liga Portugal€100k
- SimãoCMFC Arouca · Liga Portugal€100k
- RochaCBCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€100k
- SantosCBAvs Futebol · Liga Portugal€100k
- PasveerGKHeracles Almelo · goalkeepers€100k
- FernándezGKDeportivo Alavés · goalkeepers€100k
- BainGKFalkirk FC · goalkeepers€100k
- TaşkıranGKAlanyaspor · goalkeepers€100k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).