FairValue

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Abel

Ruiz

CFSpain · Girona FC

№ 340376Established €2.4M −0.17

Player dossierLaLiga

AbelRuiz

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Girona FC
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
26
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ruiz at €2M. Model A, which never saw Ruiz during training, estimates €2.4M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €858k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.17A €2.4M▲ +0.85B €858k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
1,836
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
21/38
Min / app
48
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ruiz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €2.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Abel Ruiz's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 35th, Assists per 90 15th, Minutes, two years 40th, Starts 44th, Minutes, last 365 days 7th, European club minutes 68th35thGoals15thAssists40thMinutes44thStarts7thRecent68thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

8% this player0% attacker median68th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Aug 2017
Peak
€14M
Jul 2023
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2MGirona FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Girona FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-08-17€200kFC Barcelona B
2018-01-01€3MFC Barcelona B
2018-05-30€3MFC Barcelona B
2018-08-07€3MFC Barcelona B
2019-02-19€3MFC Barcelona B
2019-06-29€3MFC Barcelona B
2019-09-10€3MFC Barcelona B
2020-02-11€5MSC Braga
2020-04-08€4.5MSC Braga
2020-08-17€5MSC Braga
2021-01-28€5MSC Braga
2021-03-25€7MSC Braga
2021-05-21€7MSC Braga
2021-12-27€7MSC Braga
2022-05-31€7MSC Braga
2022-11-01€7MSC Braga
2023-03-02€8MSC Braga
2023-06-16€10MSC Braga
2023-07-12€14MSC Braga
2023-12-27€12MSC Braga
2024-06-06€12MSC Braga
2024-12-27€7.5MGirona FC
2025-03-21€6MGirona FC
2025-06-09€4MGirona FC
2025-10-02€3.5MGirona FC
2025-12-12€3MGirona FC
2026-03-16€2.5MGirona FC
2026-06-05€2MGirona FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.169

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 28% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ruiz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).