FairValue

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Jeremy

Toljan

RBGermany · Levante UD

№ 129674Established €2.1M −0.07

Player dossierLaLiga

JeremyToljan

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Levante UD
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Germany
Age
31
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Toljan at €2M. Model A, which never saw Toljan during training, estimates €2.1M: the market value is 7% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.07A €2.1M▲ +0.13B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
3,206
Goals
1
Assists
4
Started
37/39
Min / app
82
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Toljan…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €2.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Jeremy Toljan's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 47th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 57th, Starts 84th, Minutes, last 365 days 92nd, European club minutes 30th47thGoals80thAssists57thMinutes84thStarts92ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,206 this player1,687 defender median92nd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2012
Peak
€6M
Oct 2017
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
4 club changes
Jun 2026€2MLevante UDValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Levante UD. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-15€25kTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
2013-04-27€100kTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
2013-11-05€500kTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2014-02-12€1MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2014-07-10€1MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2015-02-04€800kTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2015-07-01€1MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2016-02-15€1.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2016-07-22€2.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2017-02-07€3.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2017-06-19€3.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2017-10-18€6MBorussia Dortmund
2017-12-28€6MBorussia Dortmund
2018-06-05€5MBorussia Dortmund
2018-12-18€3MBorussia Dortmund
2019-10-08€4MUS Sassuolo
2019-12-12€4.5MUS Sassuolo
2020-04-08€3.5MUS Sassuolo
2020-08-25€5MUS Sassuolo
2020-12-29€5MUS Sassuolo
2021-06-03€5MUS Sassuolo
2021-12-28€5MUS Sassuolo
2022-06-07€5MUS Sassuolo
2022-11-11€4.5MUS Sassuolo
2023-06-15€4.5MUS Sassuolo
2023-12-20€4.5MUS Sassuolo
2024-06-05€3.5MUS Sassuolo
2024-10-15€2.5MUS Sassuolo
2024-12-23€2.5MUS Sassuolo
2025-06-02€2.4MUS Sassuolo
2025-12-12€2.2MLevante UD
2026-06-05€2MLevante UD

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.070

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 28% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Toljan appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).