FairValue

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Armando

Obispo

CBCuracao · PSV Eindhoven

№ 339337Established €5.2M −0.27

Player dossierEredivisie

ArmandoObispo

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
PSV Eindhoven
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Curacao
Age
27
Height
185 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Obispo at €4M. Model A, which never saw Obispo during training, estimates €5.2M: the market value is 23% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.27A €5.2M▲ +0.21B €3.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
2,210
Goals
3
Assists
0
Started
24/50
Min / app
44
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Obispo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €5.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Armando Obispo's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 38th, Starts 6th, Minutes, last 365 days 41st, European club minutes 92nd92ndGoals17thAssists38thMinutes6thStarts41stRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.12 this player0.03 defender median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2016
Peak
€5.5M
Sept 2022
Model target
€4M
May 2026
Valuations
27
3 club changes
May 2026€4MPSV EindhovenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4M, PSV Eindhoven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-09-16€50kPSV Eindhoven U19
2017-06-21€75kPSV Eindhoven U19
2017-10-26€250kPSV Eindhoven
2018-01-17€500kPSV Eindhoven
2018-06-12€750kPSV Eindhoven
2018-12-28€750kPSV Eindhoven
2019-06-12€750kPSV Eindhoven
2019-09-19€900kVitesse Arnhem
2019-12-18€900kVitesse Arnhem
2020-04-08€800kVitesse Arnhem
2020-08-12€1MPSV Eindhoven
2020-10-14€1MPSV Eindhoven
2021-05-19€1MPSV Eindhoven
2021-10-04€2MPSV Eindhoven
2022-01-05€3MPSV Eindhoven
2022-06-08€3MPSV Eindhoven
2022-09-14€5.5MPSV Eindhoven
2022-11-11€5.5MPSV Eindhoven
2023-03-17€4.5MPSV Eindhoven
2023-06-23€4.5MPSV Eindhoven
2023-12-15€4.5MPSV Eindhoven
2024-05-31€3.5MPSV Eindhoven
2024-12-17€3.5MPSV Eindhoven
2025-05-28€3MPSV Eindhoven
2025-12-02€3MPSV Eindhoven
2026-03-11€4MPSV Eindhoven
2026-05-28€4MPSV Eindhoven

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.266

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 76% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Obispo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).