FairValue

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Ilzat

Akhmetov

AMRussia · Krylya Sovetov Samara

№ 334440Emerging €1.1M +0.29

Player dossierPremier Liga

IlzatAkhmetov

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Krylya Sovetov Samara
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
28
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Akhmetov at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Akhmetov during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 34% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.29A €1.1M▼ −0.02B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
2,394
Goals
2
Assists
8
Started
27/46
Min / app
52
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Akhmetov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ilzat Akhmetov's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 96th, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 32nd, Minutes, last 365 days 59th, European club minutes 30th46thGoals96thAssists46thMinutes32ndStarts59thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.30 this player0.09 midfielder median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jun 2015
Peak
€8M
Jun 2019
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
32
5 club changes
May 2026€1.5MKrylya Sovetov SamaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Krylya Sovetov Samara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-06-28€25kRubin Kazan II
2015-07-30€100kRubin Kazan II
2015-08-25€150kRubin Kazan II
2016-01-06€200kRubin Kazan II
2016-05-25€400kRubin Kazan II
2016-12-27€400kRubin Kazan
2017-06-01€600kRubin Kazan
2017-11-24€500kRubin Kazan
2017-12-23€500kRubin Kazan
2018-06-06€400kRubin Kazan
2018-09-03€1MCSKA Moscow
2018-10-15€1.8MCSKA Moscow
2018-12-20€6MCSKA Moscow
2019-04-24€6.5MCSKA Moscow
2019-06-14€8MCSKA Moscow
2019-12-23€7.5MCSKA Moscow
2020-04-08€6MCSKA Moscow
2020-07-29€5.5MCSKA Moscow
2020-12-29€5MCSKA Moscow
2021-06-02€4MCSKA Moscow
2021-12-29€4.5MCSKA Moscow
2022-06-02€2.8MCSKA Moscow
2022-09-12€2.5MFC Krasnodar
2022-11-21€2.5MFC Krasnodar
2023-04-13€3MFC Krasnodar
2023-06-14€3MFC Krasnodar
2023-12-13€3MFC Krasnodar
2024-06-04€2.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2024-12-12€2MZenit St. Petersburg
2025-06-04€1.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2025-12-16€1.5MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2026-05-26€1.5MKrylya Sovetov Samara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.289

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 57% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Akhmetov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).