FairValue

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Cristian

Ramírez

LBEcuador · Lokomotiv Moscow

№ 189485Emerging €1.1M +0.28

Player dossierPremier Liga

CristianRamírez

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Lokomotiv Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Ecuador
Age
31
Height
172 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ramírez at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Ramírez during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 32% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €709k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.28A €1.1M▲ +0.75B €709k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
1,592
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
19/28
Min / app
57
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ramírez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Cristian Ramírez's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 25th, Starts 24th, Minutes, last 365 days 16th, European club minutes 100th18thGoals80thAssists25thMinutes24thStarts16thRecent100thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

60% this player0% defender median100th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Jan 2013
Peak
€7.5M
Jun 2019
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
30
5 club changes
May 2026€1.5MLokomotiv MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Lokomotiv Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-01-26€500kFortuna Düsseldorf
2013-06-30€500kFortuna Düsseldorf
2013-10-14€800kFortuna Düsseldorf
2014-01-20€1MFortuna Düsseldorf
2014-06-30€1MFortuna Düsseldorf
2015-01-13€700k1.FC Nuremberg
2015-07-21€800kFerencvárosi TC
2015-11-27€1MFerencvárosi TC
2016-06-01€1.2MFerencvárosi TC
2016-09-30€1.5MFerencvárosi TC
2017-06-01€2.5MFC Krasnodar
2017-12-23€2.8MFC Krasnodar
2018-06-06€3.5MFC Krasnodar
2018-12-20€6.5MFC Krasnodar
2019-06-14€7.5MFC Krasnodar
2019-12-23€7.5MFC Krasnodar
2020-04-08€6MFC Krasnodar
2020-07-29€6.5MFC Krasnodar
2020-12-29€6.5MFC Krasnodar
2021-06-02€6MFC Krasnodar
2021-12-29€5.5MFC Krasnodar
2022-06-02€5MFC Krasnodar
2022-11-21€5MFC Krasnodar
2023-06-14€5MFC Krasnodar
2023-12-22€3.5MFerencvárosi TC
2024-05-23€3.5MFerencvárosi TC
2024-12-23€3MFerencvárosi TC
2025-05-28€2.5MFerencvárosi TC
2025-12-16€2MLokomotiv Moscow
2026-05-26€1.5MLokomotiv Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.280

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 57% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ramírez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).