FairValue

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Finn

Becker

CMGermany · 1.FC Nuremberg

№ 334999Emerging €1.9M −0.22

Player dossierBundesliga

FinnBecker

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
1.FC Nuremberg
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
25
Height
177 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
16 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Becker at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Becker during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 20% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.22A €1.9M▲ +0.19B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
26
Minutes
1,108
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
11/26
Min / app
43
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Becker…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Finn Becker's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 16th, Starts 14th, Minutes, last 365 days 26th, European club minutes 79th10thGoals44thAssists16thMinutes14thStarts26thRecent79thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

16% this player0% midfielder median79th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€600k
Jul 2019
Peak
€3M
Dec 2023
Model target
€1.5M
Dec 2025
Valuations
19
2 club changes
Dec 2025€1.5M1.FC NurembergValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €1.5M, 1.FC Nuremberg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-07-01€600kFC St. Pauli
2019-09-25€1MFC St. Pauli
2019-12-13€1MFC St. Pauli
2020-04-02€2MFC St. Pauli
2020-04-08€1.8MFC St. Pauli
2021-02-08€1.8MFC St. Pauli
2021-03-29€2.5MFC St. Pauli
2021-06-16€2.5MFC St. Pauli
2021-12-15€2.5MFC St. Pauli
2022-06-16€2.5MFC St. Pauli
2022-11-09€2MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-03-29€1MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-06-22€2.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-12-14€3MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2024-05-29€2.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2024-12-20€2MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-06-05€2MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-10-09€1.5M1.FC Nuremberg
2025-12-16€1.5M1.FC Nuremberg

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.223

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 12% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Becker appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).