FairValue

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Dennis

Praet

CMBelgium · Royal Antwerp FC

№ 129588Emerging €873k +0.54

Player dossierPro League

DennisPraet

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Royal Antwerp FC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
32
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Praet at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Praet during training, estimates €873k: the market value is 72% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.72. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €741k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.54A €873k▲ +0.71B €741k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
3,345
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
38/47
Min / app
71
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Praet…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €873k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dennis Praet's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 19th, Minutes, two years 63rd, Starts 72nd, Minutes, last 365 days 81st, European club minutes 30th10thGoals19thAssists63rdMinutes72ndStarts81stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,528 this player1,541 midfielder median81st percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jul 2011
Peak
€25M
Jun 2018
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
39
5 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MRoyal Antwerp FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, Royal Antwerp FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-07-11€200kRSC Anderlecht
2012-01-05€700kRSC Anderlecht
2012-04-03€1MRSC Anderlecht
2012-11-12€2.5MRSC Anderlecht
2013-01-09€5MRSC Anderlecht
2013-06-25€7MRSC Anderlecht
2014-02-10€7MRSC Anderlecht
2014-06-28€7MRSC Anderlecht
2014-10-05€8MRSC Anderlecht
2015-01-07€9MRSC Anderlecht
2015-06-24€8MRSC Anderlecht
2016-02-07€9MRSC Anderlecht
2016-07-15€9MRSC Anderlecht
2017-01-02€9MUC Sampdoria
2017-06-08€8.5MUC Sampdoria
2017-12-29€14MUC Sampdoria
2018-06-07€25MUC Sampdoria
2018-12-20€25MUC Sampdoria
2019-06-06€24MUC Sampdoria
2019-12-10€24MLeicester City
2020-04-08€19MLeicester City
2020-10-13€22MLeicester City
2021-03-18€20MLeicester City
2021-05-26€18MLeicester City
2021-10-14€16MTorino FC
2021-12-28€15MTorino FC
2022-06-07€13MTorino FC
2022-09-15€11MLeicester City
2022-11-03€10MLeicester City
2023-03-16€8MLeicester City
2023-06-20€7MLeicester City
2023-12-21€6MLeicester City
2024-03-07€5MLeicester City
2024-05-24€4MLeicester City
2024-12-11€3.5MRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-03-26€3MRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-06-12€2.5MRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-12-10€2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-06-04€1.5MRoyal Antwerp FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.541

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 39% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Praet appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).