FairValue

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Evgeniy

Chernov

LBRussia · FC Rostov

№ 187024Emerging €187k +0.07

Player dossierPremier Liga

EvgeniyChernov

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
FC Rostov
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
33
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Chernov at €200k. Model A, which never saw Chernov during training, estimates €187k: the market value is 7% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €231k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.07A €187k▼ −0.14B €231k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
9
Minutes
562
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
6/9
Min / app
62
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Chernov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €187k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Evgeniy Chernov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 2nd, Starts 23rd, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 30th18thGoals90thAssists2ndMinutes23rdStarts1stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.16 this player0.04 defender median90th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2012
Peak
€2.8M
Dec 2019
Model target
€200k
May 2026
Valuations
30
11 club changes
May 2026€200kFC RostovValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €200k, FC Rostov. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-01-23€50kTom Tomsk
2013-09-13€75kKhimik Dzerzhinsk
2013-12-27€75kKhimik Dzerzhinsk
2014-06-29€150kKhimik Dzerzhinsk
2015-06-11€250kKhimik Dzerzhinsk
2016-01-10€250kTom Tomsk
2016-04-21€400kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2016-12-24€600kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2017-06-01€600kZenit St. Petersburg
2017-10-02€800kFC Tosno
2017-12-23€1MFC Tosno
2018-06-06€1MFC Tosno
2018-12-20€1.2MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-06-14€2MFC Rostov
2019-12-23€2.8MFC Rostov
2020-04-08€2.2MFC Rostov
2020-07-29€2.8MFC Rostov
2020-12-29€2.8MFC Krasnodar
2021-06-02€2.5MFC Krasnodar
2021-09-15€2MFC Krasnodar
2021-12-29€1.2MFC Krasnodar
2022-06-02€1MFC Krasnodar
2022-11-21€1.2MFC Rostov
2023-06-14€1MFC Rostov
2023-12-13€800kFC Rostov
2024-06-04€700kFC Rostov
2024-12-12€500kFC Rostov
2025-06-02€400kBaltika Kaliningrad
2025-12-16€300kFC Rostov
2026-05-26€200kFC Rostov

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.069

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 2% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Chernov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).