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Sergey

Pesjakov

GKRussia · Krylya Sovetov Samara

№ 61397Emerging €209k −0.05

Player dossierPremier Liga

SergeyPesjakov

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Krylya Sovetov Samara
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
37
Height
199 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pesjakov at €200k. Model A, which never saw Pesjakov during training, estimates €209k: the market value is 4% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €229k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.05A €209k▼ −0.13B €229k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
4,367
Started
49/50
Min / app
87
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pesjakov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €209k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Sergey Pesjakov's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 19th, Minutes, last 365 days 72nd, European club minutes 32nd71stMinutes19thStarts72ndRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,684 this player1,560 goalkeeper median72nd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2007
Peak
€1.5M
Jan 2012
Model target
€200k
May 2026
Valuations
38
7 club changes
May 2026€200kKrylya Sovetov SamaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €200k, Krylya Sovetov Samara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2007-10-20€50kTekstilshchik Ivanovo
2007-12-23€200kTekstilshchik Ivanovo
2008-09-13€400kShinnik Yaroslavl
2009-04-04€700kShinnik Yaroslavl
2009-12-10€800kSpartak Moscow
2011-05-12€800kTom Tomsk
2011-08-22€1MTom Tomsk
2012-01-20€1.5MFC Rostov
2013-01-13€1.5MSpartak Moscow
2013-06-19€1.5MSpartak Moscow
2014-03-03€1.5MSpartak Moscow
2014-07-31€1.3MSpartak Moscow
2015-03-07€1MSpartak Moscow
2015-06-18€850kSpartak Moscow
2015-07-23€800kSpartak Moscow
2016-01-06€500kSpartak Moscow
2016-05-25€800kSpartak Moscow
2016-12-27€800kSpartak Moscow
2017-06-01€700kSpartak Moscow
2017-12-23€800kFC Rostov
2018-06-06€800kFC Rostov
2018-12-20€1MFC Rostov
2019-06-14€1.5MFC Rostov
2019-12-23€1.3MFC Rostov
2020-04-08€1MFC Rostov
2020-07-29€1.2MFC Rostov
2020-12-29€1.5MFC Rostov
2021-06-02€1.5MFC Rostov
2021-12-29€1.2MFC Rostov
2022-06-02€900kFC Rostov
2022-11-21€800kFC Rostov
2023-06-14€700kFC Rostov
2023-12-13€600kFC Rostov
2024-06-04€500kFC Rostov
2024-12-12€400kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2025-06-04€300kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2025-12-16€250kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2026-05-26€200kKrylya Sovetov Samara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.046

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 2% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 9% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pesjakov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).